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We Think Hospital Corporation of China's (HKG:3869) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

We Think Hospital Corporation of China's (HKG:3869) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

我们认为中国医院集团公司(HKG: 3869)的强劲收益是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 21:40

Hospital Corporation of China Limited (HKG:3869) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

中国医院有限责任公司(HKG:3869)最近公布了一些强劲的收益,市场反应积极。我们做了一些挖掘,发现了一些投资者会喜欢的进一步鼓舞人心的因素。

View our latest analysis for Hospital Corporation of China

看我们对中国医院集团的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:3869 Earnings and Revenue History October 5th 2023
联交所:3869盈利及收入历史2023年10月5日

Examining Cashflow Against Hospital Corporation of China's Earnings

从中国的收益看医院公司的现金流量

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这一比率向我们展示了一家公司的利润超过其固定现金流的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

For the year to June 2023, Hospital Corporation of China had an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥179m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥72.8m. Hospital Corporation of China shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年6月,中国医院集团的权责发生制比率为-0.12。因此,它的法定收益比自由现金流要少得多。换言之,该公司在此期间产生了1.79亿加元的自由现金流,令其公布的7280万加元利润相形见绌。中国医院股份有限公司的股东无疑对过去12个月自由现金流的改善感到高兴。然而,这并不是需要考虑的全部问题。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hospital Corporation of China.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们对中国医院集团资产负债表的分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

Hospital Corporation of China's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥120m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to June 2023, Hospital Corporation of China had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

中国医院集团的利润在过去12个月中因价值1.2亿元人民币的异常项目而减少,这有助于其产生高现金转换率,这从其异常项目中得到了反映。这就是你会看到的,一家公司的非现金费用减少了账面利润。虽然最初由于不寻常的项目而扣除的金额令人失望,但也有一线希望。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。考虑到这些项目被认为是不寻常的,这并不令人惊讶。在截至2023年6月的12个月里,中国医院公司发生了一笔很大的异常项目费用。在其他条件不变的情况下,这很可能会导致法定利润看起来比潜在的盈利能力更糟糕。

Our Take On Hospital Corporation of China's Profit Performance

我们对中国医院集团盈利业绩的看法

In conclusion, both Hospital Corporation of China's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think Hospital Corporation of China's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! If you want to do dive deeper into Hospital Corporation of China, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Hospital Corporation of China has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

综上所述,中国医院股份有限公司的权责发生比率及其异常项目都表明其法定收益可能是相当保守的。基于这些因素,我们认为中国医院的盈利潜力至少像看起来的那样好,甚至可能更好!如果你想更深入地研究中国医院集团,你还应该看看它目前面临的风险是什么。例如-中国医院总公司2个警告标志我们认为你应该意识到。

Our examination of Hospital Corporation of China has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对中国医院股份有限公司的审查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可以使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。而且它已经以优异的成绩通过了。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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