Berlin, April 25 (Reuters) - German Consumer Sentiment Is Set to Rise in May on the Back of Households' Brighter Income Expectations, Continuing a Path of Recovery That Has Been Slow-Going Due to Uncertainty About the Country's Economic Development, a Survey Showed on Thursday.
柏林，4月25日（路透社）— 周四的一项调查显示，由于家庭收入预期增强，德国消费者信心指数将在5月份上升，延续了由于该国经济发展不确定性而一直缓慢的复苏之路。
The Consumer Sentiment Index Published Jointly by Gfk and the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions (Nim) Rose to -24.2 Heading Into May From a Slightly Revised -27.3 in April.
Gfk和纽伦堡市场决策研究所（Nim）联合发布的消费者信心指数从4月份略有修正的-27.3升至5月份的-24.2。
That Reading, the Third Increase in a Row, Beat the Expectations of Analysts Polled by Reuters of -26.0 and Marks a Two-Year High, Though Sentiment Still Remains Extremely Low.
该数据是连续第三次上涨，超过了路透社调查的分析师的预期-26.0，创下了两年来的最高水平，尽管市场情绪仍然极低。
Income Expectations Were a Bright Spot, Climbing 12.2 Points to 10.7, Boosted by Falling Inflation and Rising Wages.
收入预期是一个亮点，在通货膨胀率下降和工资上涨的推动下，上涨12.2点至10.7点。
"Our Analyses Indicate That Income Expectations Are Primarily Based on Real Income Development. and the Signals Here Are Definitely Positive," Said Nim Consumer Analyst Rolf Buerkl.
Nim消费者分析师罗尔夫·布尔克尔表示：“我们的分析表明，收入预期主要基于实际收入的发展。这里的信号绝对是积极的。”
The Willingness to Buy Benefited Only Moderately From the Jump in Income Expectations, Rising 2.7 Points to -12.6, as Households Put Their Money Aside Due to Pronounced Uncertainty About the Economic Development of Europe's Biggest Economy.
由于欧洲最大经济体的经济发展存在明显的不确定性，家庭将资金搁置一边，收入预期的上升仅对购买意愿产生了适度的好处，上升了2.7个百分点至-12.6点。
May 2024 |
Apr 2024 |
May 2023 |
|
Consumer Climate |
-24.2 |
-27.3 |
-25.8 |
Consumer Climate Components |
Apr 2024 |
Mar 2024 |
Apr 2023 |
- Willingness to Buy |
-12.6 |
-15.3 |
-13.1 |
- Income Expectations |
10.7 |
-1.5 |
-10.7 |
- Business Cycle Expectations |
0.7 |
-3.1 |
14.3 |
2024 年 5 月 |
2024 年 4 月 |
2023 年 5 月 |
|
消费者环境 |
-24.2 |
-27.3 |
-25.8 |
消费者环境组件 |
2024 年 4 月 |
2024 年 3 月 |
2023 年 4 月 |
-购买意愿 |
-12.6 |
-15.3 |
-13.1 |
-收入预期 |
10.7 |
-1.5 |
-10.7 |
-商业周期预期 |
0.7 |
-3.1 |
14.3 |
Note - the Survey Period Was From April 4-15, 2024.
注意-调查期为2024年4月4日至15日。
The Consumer Climate Indicator Forecasts the Progress of Real Private Consumption in the Following Month.
消费者景气指标预测了下个月实际私人消费的进展。
An Indicator Reading Above Zero Signals Year-on-Year Growth in Private Consumption. a Value Below Zero Indicates a Drop Compared With the Same Period a Year Earlier.
指标读数高于零表示私人消费同比增长。低于零的值表示与去年同期相比有所下降。
According to Gfk, a One-Point Change in the Indicator Corresponds to a Year-on-Year Change of 0.1% in Private Consumption.
根据Gfk的数据，该指标的一个百分点变化相当于私人消费的同比变化0.1％。
The "Willingness to Buy" Indicator Represents the Balance Between Positive and Negative Responses to the Question: "Do You Think Now Is a Good Time to Buy Major Items?"
“购买意愿” 指标代表了对以下问题的正面和负面回应之间的平衡：“你认为现在是购买主要物品的好时机吗？”
The Income Expectations Sub-Index Reflects Expectations About the Development of Household Finances in the Coming 12 Months.
收入预期分项指数反映了对未来12个月家庭财务发展的预期。
The Additional Business Cycle Expectations Index Reflects Respondents' Assessment of the General Economic Situation Over the Next 12 Months.
附加商业周期预期指数反映了受访者对未来12个月总体经济形势的评估。
(Reporting by Miranda Murray, Editing by Rachel More)
（米兰达·默里报道，雷切尔·莫尔编辑）
((Mailto: Miranda.murray@Thomsonreuters.com))
((邮寄至: Miranda.murray@Thomsonreuters.com))