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Key drivers of stock returns

Key drivers of stock returns

股票回报的主要驱动因素
moomoo Courses ·  2021/12/15 01:53

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As we learned before, stocks have the highest historical returns among main financial assets.

正如我们之前了解到的,股票是主要金融资产中历史回报率最高的。

But you may still wonder whether the stock return is reliable and sustainable.

但你可能仍会怀疑股票回报是否可靠和可持续。

"Can I continue to make money from the market in the future?"

“我未来还能继续从市场赚钱吗?”

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Unlike cryptocurrencies with wild fluctuations, stock investment is more reliable and sustainable. 

与剧烈波动的加密货币不同,股票投资更可靠、更可持续。

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Why?

为什么?

Because investing in stocks is like growing fruit trees with the expectation of raking in profits. 

因为投资股票就像种果树,期望能赚大钱。

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Suppose you're planting an apple tree.

假设你正在种植一棵苹果树。

There is no doubt that growing fruit trees requires time, commitment, and money.

毫无疑问,种植果树需要时间、承诺和金钱。

Where can you get enough start-up capital? 

你从哪里能获得足够的启动资金?

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You can raise funds from investors interested in this apple business.

你可以从对苹果业务感兴趣的投资者那里筹集资金。

Each investor is a shareholder of the tree and owns a portion of shares.

每个投资者都是这棵树的股东,并拥有一部分股份。

Share represents a part of the ownership of the tree, which means that shareholders can be co-owners of apples in the future. 

股份代表了这棵树所有权的一部分,这意味着股东未来可以成为苹果的共同所有者。

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When you have enough money, you start to plant the apple tree and care it with efforts.

当你有了足够的钱,你就开始种植苹果树,并努力照料它。

The growing process is like business operation. 

成长的过程就像商业运作一样。

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To have ripe, juicy apples, you have to spend time and efforts in the early days. 

要有成熟多汁的苹果,你必须在早期花费时间和努力。

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A few years later, it grows into a big apple tree.

几年后,它长成了一棵大苹果树。

Every year during the harvest season, you will reap a certain number of apples.

每年收获季节,你都会收获一定数量的苹果。

These apples, the returns of investment, will be distributed to each shareholder of the tree. 

这些苹果,即投资回报,将分配给这棵树的每个股东。

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In addition to apple trees, there are also various fruit trees in the orchard.

除了苹果树,果园里还有各种各样的果树。

If a specific stock is viewed as a fruit tree, then the stock market is similar to an orchard. 

如果把一只特定的股票看作一棵果树,那么股票市场就类似于一座果园。

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The stock market is a place where stocks are issued, bought, and sold.

股票市场是股票发行、买卖的场所。

In the orchard, you can trade shares of fruit trees.

在果园里,你可以交易果树的股份。

In the stock market, you can deal in shares of stocks. 

在股票市场,你可以买卖股票。

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We all enter the market for high returns.

我们都是为了高回报而进入市场。

But do you know how the profits are generated? 

但你知道利润是怎么产生的吗?

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For an apple tree, there are two main ways to generate gains.

对于一棵苹果树来说,有两种主要的方式来产生收益。

One is the fruit, and the other is the growth of the tree. 

一个是果实,另一个是树的生长。

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Similarly, stock returns also come from two aspects.

同样,股票收益也来自两个方面。

The "dividend" paid to investors, like the fruit. 

支付给投资者的“红利”,就像果实一样。

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And the "growth" in company value, like the growth of the tree. 

公司价值的“增长”,就像树的生长一样。

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That seeds grow to apple trees is a process under the law of nature.

种子长成苹果树是自然规律下的一个过程。

Typically, in the early stages, it grows at a fast speed.

通常,在早期阶段,它会快速增长。

Like many successful startups, when their products are introduced to users in the beginning, the companies tend to experience an exponential growth. 

像许多成功的初创公司一样,当他们的产品在一开始向用户介绍时,这些公司往往会经历指数级的增长。

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At the stage of full maturity, the tree begins to bear fruits steadily.

在完全成熟的阶段,树开始稳定地结果。

It's common that many high-growth companies gradually slow down their growth after years of competition. 

在多年的竞争之后,许多高增长的公司逐渐放慢增长速度,这是很常见的。

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Normally, we can categorize companies into two types: growth company and mature company.

一般来说,我们可以将公司分为两类:成长型公司和成熟型公司。

Investing in growth companies, you will receive a small number of dividends but can benefit from a robust growth in the future.

投资于成长型公司,你将获得少量红利,但可以从未来强劲的增长中受益。

Investing in mature companies, you will have stable returns with relatively high dividends. 

投资成熟的公司,你会有稳定的回报和相对较高的股息。

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For example, $Tesla(TSLA.US)$, an electric carmaker, has never paid a dividend since its IPO in 2010, but it has posted robust sales growth.

例如,$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$这家电动汽车制造商自2010年首次公开募股(IPO)以来从未派发过股息,但该公司公布了强劲的销售增长。

In contrast, while $Coca-Cola(KO.US)$'s sales performance has been stagnated over the past 10 years, it continues to pay high dividends to its shareholders. 

相比之下,虽然$可口可乐(KO.US)$过去10年来,其销售业绩停滞不前,继续向股东支付高额股息。

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Why do so many investors love $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ stock?

为什么这么多投资者喜欢$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$股票?

Keep in mind, the return of growth is usually much more considerable than that of dividends.

请记住,增长的回报通常比股息的回报要可观得多。

This means that if you have bought shares of $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ and $Coca-Cola(KO.US)$ 10 years ago and held them until 2021, you could make more money from $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ investment. 

这意味着如果你购买了$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$$可口可乐(KO.US)$10年前,持有到2021年,你可以赚更多的钱$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$投资。

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To sum up, investing in stocks is like planting trees.

总而言之,投资股票就像种树。

If you spend more time and effort, you are more likely to reap fruits.

如果你花更多的时间和精力,你就更有可能收获果实。

In addition to time and effort, learning of methods and strategies is necessary.

除了时间和精力,学习方法和策略也是必要的。

The following chapters will focus on these aspects. 

以下各章将集中讨论这些方面。

For more investment knowledge and trends, welcome to Courses in the Community.

欲了解更多投资知识和趋势,欢迎访问课程在社区里。

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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