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Investing in MetLife (NYSE:MET) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 82% Gain

Investing in MetLife (NYSE:MET) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 82% Gain

五年前投资大都会人寿(纽约证券交易所代码:MET)将为您带来82%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  05/14 06:56

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the MetLife, Inc. (NYSE:MET) share price is up 52% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Some buyers are laughing, though, with an increase of 43% in the last year.

长期投资的要点是赚钱。但不仅如此,你可能希望看到它的涨幅超过市场平均水平。对于股东来说,不幸的是,尽管大都会人寿公司(纽约证券交易所代码:MET)的股价在过去五年中上涨了52%,但仍低于市场回报率。但是,一些买家笑了,去年增长了43%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报步调一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

MetLife's earnings per share are down 10.0% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

尽管五年来股价表现强劲,但大都会人寿的每股收益每年下降10.0%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

从本质上讲,投资者似乎不太可能将注意力集中在每股收益上。由于每股收益似乎与股价不符,因此我们将改用其他指标。

It is not great to see that revenue has dropped by 0.1% per year over five years. It certainly surprises us that the share price is up, but perhaps a closer examination of the data will yield answers.

看到收入在五年内每年下降0.1%,这并不令人满意。股价上涨无疑使我们感到惊讶,但也许仔细研究数据会得出答案。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:MET Earnings and Revenue Growth May 14th 2024
纽约证券交易所:大都会收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 14 日

MetLife is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for MetLife in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

大都会人寿为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师都试图预测未来的利润水平。您可以在这张未来利润估计的交互式图表中看到分析师对大都会人寿的预测。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for MetLife the TSR over the last 5 years was 82%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,大都会人寿在过去5年的股东总回报率为82%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that MetLife shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 48% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand MetLife better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that MetLife is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高兴看到大都会人寿股东在过去一年中获得了48%的股东总回报率。这包括股息。这比五年来13%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解大都会人寿,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,请注意,大都会人寿在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,您应该知道...

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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