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Fufeng Group's (HKG:546) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Fufeng Group's (HKG:546) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

富丰集团(HKG: 546)的股东需要担心的不仅仅是软收益
Simply Wall St ·  05/08 18:42

The subdued market reaction suggests that Fufeng Group Limited's (HKG:546) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

疲软的市场反应表明,扶风集团有限公司(HKG: 546)最近的收益没有任何意外。我们认为,投资者担心收益背后的一些弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:546 Earnings and Revenue History May 8th 2024
SEHK: 546 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 8 日

A Closer Look At Fufeng Group's Earnings

仔细看看扶风集团的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减弱。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Fufeng Group recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥3.14b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥619m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥2.6b a year ago though, so Fufeng Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,富丰集团的应计比率为0.22。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远低于其报告的利润。尽管该公司报告的利润为31.4亿元人民币,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了6.19亿元人民币。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为26亿元人民币,因此富丰集团过去至少能够产生正的FCF。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Fufeng Group's Profit Performance

我们对富丰集团盈利表现的看法

Fufeng Group's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Fufeng Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Fufeng Group.

富丰集团过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换不理想,从我们对收益的看法来看,这是负数。因此,在我们看来,扶风集团的真正潜在盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。但好消息是,其在过去三年中的每股收益增长非常令人印象深刻。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。为了帮助解决这个问题,我们发现了 2 个警告信号(1 个不容忽视!)在购买富丰集团的任何股票之前,您应该注意这一点。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Fufeng Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只研究了揭示扶风集团利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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