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Why Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s (SHSE:688019) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Why Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s (SHSE:688019) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

为什么安吉微电子科技(上海)(SHSE: 688019)的收益比看起来要弱
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 18:33

Even though Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688019) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large way. We decided to have a deeper look, and we believe that investors might be worried about several concerning factors that we found.

尽管安吉微电子科技(上海)有限公司(SHSE: 688019)最近公布了强劲的收益,但该股的反应并不大。我们决定进行更深入的研究,我们认为投资者可能会担心我们发现的几个令人担忧的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688019 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2024
SHSE: 688019 2024 年 4 月 22 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s Earnings

仔细看看安吉微电子科技(上海)的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。尽管应计比率为正并不成问题,表示非现金利润达到一定水平,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明票面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计收入较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to December 2023, Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) had an accrual ratio of 0.30. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥1.7m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥402.7m. We saw that FCF was CN¥43m a year ago though, so Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,安吉微电子科技(上海)的应计比率为0.30。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为170万元人民币,而上述利润为4.027亿元人民币。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为4300万元人民币,因此安吉微电子科技(上海)过去至少能够产生正的FCF。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥111m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了1.11亿元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。截至2023年12月,安吉微电子科技(上海)的不寻常项目对其利润做出了相当大的贡献。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显高于原来的水平。

Our Take On Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s Profit Performance

我们对安吉微电子科技(上海)盈利表现的看法

Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) you should know about.

安吉微电子科技(上海)的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到不寻常项目的提振。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼安吉微电子科技(上海)的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了安吉微电子科技(上海)的一个警告信号,你应该知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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