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We Think SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为SolarWinds(纽约证券交易所代码:SWI)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/15 09:30

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,SolarWinds公司(纽约证券交易所代码:SWI)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业将被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人强迫他们以不利的价格筹集资金。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了对一家能够以高回报率进行再投资的公司的摊薄时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起看。

What Is SolarWinds's Net Debt?

什么是SolarWinds的净负债?

As you can see below, SolarWinds had US$1.20b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$289.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$914.2m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,SolarWinds的债务为12.0亿美元,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,由于其现金储备为2.892亿美元,其净负债较少,约为9.142亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SWI Debt to Equity History April 15th 2024
纽约证券交易所:SWI 债务与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 4 月 15 日

A Look At SolarWinds' Liabilities

看看 SolarWinds 的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, SolarWinds had liabilities of US$468.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.34b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$289.2m in cash and US$103.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,SolarWinds的负债为4.688亿美元,12个月后到期的负债为13.4亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有2.892亿美元的现金和1.039亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出14.2亿美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.83b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on SolarWinds' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

相对于其18.3亿美元的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注SolarWinds对债务的使用。这表明,如果公司需要迅速支撑资产负债表,股东将被严重稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

While SolarWinds's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that SolarWinds grew its EBIT a smooth 48% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if SolarWinds can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

尽管SolarWinds的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率(4.0)表明它使用了部分债务,但其利息保障非常薄弱,为1.4,这表明杠杆率很高。看来很明显,借钱成本最近对股东的回报产生了负面影响。好消息是,在过去的十二个月中,SolarWinds的息税前利润平稳增长了48%。就像人类善良的牛奶一样,这种增长可以增强韧性,使公司更有能力管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定SolarWinds能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, SolarWinds actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,SolarWinds产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。当Daft Punk音乐会的节拍下降时,这种强劲的现金转换让我们和观众一样兴奋。

Our View

我们的观点

Both SolarWinds's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its interest cover had us nibbling our nails. Considering this range of data points, we think SolarWinds is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for SolarWinds that you should be aware of.

SolarWinds将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力及其息税前利润增长率都使我们对它能够处理债务感到满意。但说实话,它的利息封面让我们大吃一惊。考虑到这一范围内的数据点,我们认为SolarWinds处于管理其债务水平的有利地位。但要谨慎一点:我们认为债务水平足够高,足以证明持续监测是合理的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经确定了SolarWinds的1个警告信号,你应该注意这一点。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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