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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Shareholders

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Shareholders

收益问题可能预示着中国旭阳集团(HKG: 1907)股东将面临更大的问题
Simply Wall St ·  03/21 18:21

The subdued market reaction suggests that China Risun Group Limited's (HKG:1907) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

市场反应疲软,表明中国旭阳集团有限公司(HKG: 1907)最近的收益没有任何意外。但是,我们认为,投资者应注意一些可能令人担忧的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1907 Earnings and Revenue History March 21st 2024
SEHK: 1907 2024 年 3 月 21 日的收益和收入历史记录

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

We can see that China Risun Group received a tax benefit of CN¥308m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

我们可以看到,中国旭阳集团获得了3.08亿元人民币的税收优惠。这是有意义的,因为公司通常纳税而不是获得税收优惠。当然, 初步证实 能获得税收优惠真是太好了。但是,细节上的问题在于,此类福利仅在预订当年有影响,而且本质上通常是一次性的。假设每年都不重复享受税收优惠,在其他条件相同的情况下,我们可能会看到其盈利能力明显下降。尽管我们认为公司获得税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着法定利润很有可能远高于根据一次性因素调整收入时的法定利润。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On China Risun Group's Profit Performance

我们对中国旭阳集团盈利表现的看法

As we have already discussed China Risun Group reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paying tax, in the last year. Given that sort of benefit is not recurring, a focus on the statutory profit might make the company seem better than it really is. Because of this, we think that it may be that China Risun Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing China Risun Group at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in China Risun Group.

正如我们已经讨论过的那样,中国旭阳集团报告称,去年它获得了税收优惠,而不是纳税。鉴于这种好处不是经常性的,专注于法定利润可能会使公司看起来比实际情况更好。因此,我们认为可能是中国旭阳集团的法定利润要好于其基础盈利能力。另一个坏消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑中国旭阳集团目前面临的风险同样重要。为了帮助解决这个问题,我们发现了 2 个警告信号(1 个令人担忧!)在购买中国旭阳集团的任何股票之前,您应该注意这一点。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Risun Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只研究了揭示中国旭阳集团利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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