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Is Miracll ChemicalsLtd (SZSE:300848) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Miracll ChemicalsLtd (SZSE:300848) Using Too Much Debt?

Miracll ChemicalsLtd(深圳证券交易所代码:300848)的债务是否过多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/14 18:24

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Miracll Chemicals Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300848) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到 Miracll Chemicals Co., Ltd(深圳证券交易所代码:300848)确实在其业务中使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任由他们摆布。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业将被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了对一家能够以高回报率进行再投资的公司的摊薄时。考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Miracll ChemicalsLtd's Net Debt?

Miracll ChemicalsLtd 的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Miracll ChemicalsLtd had CN¥506.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥119.5m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥837.2m in cash, so it actually has CN¥330.8m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,Miracll ChemicalsLtd在一年内有5.064亿元人民币的债务,比1.195亿加元的债务有所增加。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有8.372亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有3.308亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300848 Debt to Equity History March 14th 2024
SZSE: 300848 2024 年 3 月 14 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Miracll ChemicalsLtd's Balance Sheet?

Miracll ChemicalsLtd 的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Miracll ChemicalsLtd had liabilities of CN¥928.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥527.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥837.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥307.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥312.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Miracll ChemicalsLtd的负债为9.289亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为5.279亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有8.372亿元人民币的现金以及价值3.07亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出3.126亿元人民币。

Given Miracll ChemicalsLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.64b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Miracll ChemicalsLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

鉴于Miracll ChemicalsLtd的市值为56.4亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但Miracll ChemicalsLt的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Miracll ChemicalsLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 30% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Miracll ChemicalsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果管理层无法阻止去年削减30%的息税前利润的做法,那么微薄的债务负担对Miracll ChemicalsLtd来说可能变得至关重要。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定Miracll ChemicalsLtd未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Miracll ChemicalsLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Miracll ChemicalsLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。Miracll ChemicalsLtd的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在过去的三年中,Miracll ChemicalsLtd烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about Miracll ChemicalsLtd's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥330.8m. So while Miracll ChemicalsLtd does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Miracll ChemicalsLtd (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

我们可以理解投资者是否担心Miracll ChemicalsLtd的负债,但其净现金为3.308亿元人民币,这一事实可以让我们放心。因此,尽管Miracll ChemicalsLtd的资产负债表不佳,但肯定还不错。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了 Miracll ChemicalsLtd 的 2 个警告标志(其中 1 个不容忽视!)你应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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