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Is BGI Genomics (SZSE:300676) A Risky Investment?

Is BGI Genomics (SZSE:300676) A Risky Investment?

华大基因组学(深圳证券交易所股票代码:300676)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/14 18:14

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300676) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,华大基因组有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300676)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或使用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,银行家无情地清算倒闭的企业。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,这也是为了自己的利益。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does BGI Genomics Carry?

华大基因组学背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, BGI Genomics had CN¥292.7m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.55b in cash, leading to a CN¥5.25b net cash position.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,华大基因组学的债务为2.927亿元人民币,高于去年同期的零。点击图片查看更多细节。但另一方面,它也有55.5亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为52.5亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300676 Debt to Equity History March 14th 2024
SZSE: 300676 2024 年 3 月 14 日债务与股本的比率记录

How Strong Is BGI Genomics' Balance Sheet?

华大基因组的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, BGI Genomics had liabilities of CN¥3.04b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥333.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.55b and CN¥1.63b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.81b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,华大基因组在12个月内到期的负债为30.4亿元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为3.339亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为55.5亿元人民币,还有价值16.3亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出38.1亿元人民币 负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that BGI Genomics is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, BGI Genomics boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种过剩的流动性表明,华大基因组学对债务采取了谨慎的态度。鉴于它很容易获得足够的短期流动性,我们认为其贷款机构不会有任何问题。简而言之,华大基因拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

It is just as well that BGI Genomics's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 81% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is BGI Genomics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

同样重要的是,华大基因组学的负担并不太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了81%。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是华大基因组学的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. BGI Genomics may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Considering the last three years, BGI Genomics actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。华大基因组学的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。考虑到过去三年,华大基因组学实际上总体上记录了现金流出。债务通常更昂贵,而且对于自由现金流为负的公司来说,风险几乎总是更大。股东们应该希望有所改善。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that BGI Genomics has net cash of CN¥5.25b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with BGI Genomics's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that BGI Genomics is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are concerning...

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,华大基因的净现金为52.5亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。因此,我们对华大基因组学的债务使用并不感到困扰。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。请注意,华大基因组学在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,其中2个与...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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