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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (HKG:6826) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (HKG:6826) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

在过去三年中,正的收益增长不足以让上海浩海生物科技(HKG: 6826)股东获得丰厚的回报
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 23:50

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology Co., Ltd. (HKG:6826) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last month. If you look at the last three years, the stock price is down. But on the bright side, its return of -27%, is better than the market, which is down 26%.

上海浩海生物技术有限公司(HKG: 6826)的股东应该很高兴看到上个月股价上涨了16%。如果你看看过去的三年,股价下跌了。但好的一面是,其回报率为-27%,好于下跌26%的市场。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

尽管过去一周令股东更加放心,但在过去三年中,他们仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否是造成下降的原因。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 24% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

在不幸的三年股价下跌中,上海浩海生物科技的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长24%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。否则,该公司过去曾被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

With a rather small yield of just 1.1% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 20% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

由于收益率相当低,仅为1.1%,我们怀疑该股的股价是否基于其股息。我们注意到,在三年内,收入实际上以20%的年增长率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。这种分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得更仔细地研究上海浩海生物科技,因为有时股票会不公平地下跌。这可能带来机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:6826 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2024
SEHK: 6826 2024 年 3 月 13 日的收益和收入增长

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。因此,看看分析师认为上海浩海生物科技未来的收入(自由利润预测)是很有意义的。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology, it has a TSR of -24% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。以上海浩海生物科技为例,在过去3年的股东回报率为-24%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.1% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 2% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. If you would like to research Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,上海浩海生物科技的股东在一年内获得了 6.1% 的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这无疑超过了过去五年中每年约2%的损失。这使我们有点警惕,但该企业可能已经扭转了命运。如果你想更详细地研究上海浩海生物科技,那么你可能需要看看内部人士是否在买入或卖出该公司的股票。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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