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Korn Ferry Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Korn Ferry Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

光辉国际刚刚超出盈利预期:以下是分析师认为接下来会发生的事情
Simply Wall St ·  03/09 09:09

It's been a good week for Korn Ferry (NYSE:KFY) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 2.4% to US$65.60. Revenues were US$669m, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$1.13 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 18%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

对于光辉国际(纽约证券交易所代码:KFY)的股东来说,这是美好的一周,因为该公司刚刚发布了最新的季度业绩,股价上涨了2.4%,至65.60美元。尽管法定每股收益(EPS)表现要好得多,但收入为6.69亿美元,大致符合预期。每股收益为1.13美元,也好于预期,比分析师的预测高出18%。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩,看看专家对明年的预测,看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。因此,我们收集了最新的财报后法定共识估计,以了解明年可能会发生什么。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:KFY Earnings and Revenue Growth March 9th 2024
纽约证券交易所:KFY收益和收入增长 2024年3月9日

Following last week's earnings report, Korn Ferry's five analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$2.83b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 67% to US$4.67. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$2.83b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.32 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

继上周的财报之后,光辉国际的五位分析师预测2025年的收入为28.3亿美元,与过去12个月大致持平。预计每股法定收益将反弹67%,至4.67美元。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2025年收入为28.3亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为4.32美元。从他们新的每股收益估计来看,分析师似乎对该业务更加看好。

The consensus price target rose 12% to US$71.50, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Korn Ferry, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$74.00 and the most bearish at US$66.00 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

共识目标股价上涨12%,至71.50美元,这表明更高的收益预期也流向了该股的估值。但是,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师目标股价时也喜欢考虑估计值的差异。对光辉国际的看法各不相同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为74.00美元,最看跌的为每股66.00美元。尽管如此,由于估计范围如此之窄,这表明分析师对他们认为该公司的价值有了很好的了解。

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Korn Ferry's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Korn Ferry's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 0.8% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 11% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.4% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Korn Ferry is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

这些估计很有趣,但是在查看预测与光辉渡轮过去的表现以及与同一行业的同行进行比较时,可以更粗略地描述一些细节。很明显,预计光辉国际的收入增长将大幅放缓,预计到2025年底的收入按年计算将增长0.8%。相比之下,过去五年的历史增长率为11%。相比之下,该行业中其他有分析师报道的公司的收入预计将以每年6.4%的速度增长。考虑到增长放缓的预测,很明显,光辉国际的增长速度预计也将低于其他行业参与者。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Korn Ferry following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Korn Ferry's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

这里最重要的是,分析师上调了每股收益预期,这表明在这些业绩公布后,人们对光辉国际的乐观情绪明显增强。幸运的是,分析师还重申了他们的收入预期,表明收入符合预期。尽管我们的数据确实表明,光辉渡轮的收入表现预计将比整个行业差。我们注意到目标股价已上调,这表明分析师认为该业务的内在价值可能会随着时间的推移而提高。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Korn Ferry analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

根据这种思路,我们认为该业务的长期前景比明年的收益重要得多。根据多位光辉国际分析师的估计,到2026年,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Korn Ferry , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

尽管如此,仍然有必要考虑永远存在的投资风险阴影。我们已经向光辉国际确定了三个警告信号,了解这些信号应该是您投资过程的一部分。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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