Commonwealth Bank's Stance on Australian Rates Remains Dovish
Commonwealth Bank's Stance on Australian Rates Remains Dovish
Gareth Aird, the chief economist of $CommBank (CBA.AU)$, maintains his view that the Reserve Bank of Australia will make substantial rate cuts in 2024 and 2025 to prevent the unemployment rate from reaching 5%.
首席经济学家加雷斯·艾尔德 $CommBank (CBA.AU)$，坚持他的观点，即澳大利亚储备银行将在2024年和2025年大幅降息，以防止失业率达到5％。
Aird predicts a 75 basis point reduction in 2024 and another 75 basis point reduction in 2025, which would bring the cash rate to 2.85% by June 2025.
艾尔德预计，到2024年将降低75个基点，到2025年再降低75个基点，这将使现金利率到2025年6月降至2.85％。
While other economists are not as certain and believe that the Reserve Bank will keep rates unchanged this year. Commonwealth Bank stated that the national accounts and growth rates released on Wednesday were slightly weaker than the RBA's expectations.
而其他经济学家则不那么确定，他们认为储备银行今年将保持利率不变。联邦银行表示，周三公布的国民账户和增长率略低于澳洲联储的预期。