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We Think Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge (SZSE:300210) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge (SZSE:300210) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我们认为鞍山森源路桥(SZSE: 300210)有相当一部分债务
Simply Wall St ·  03/04 18:05

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge Co., Ltd (SZSE:300210) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,鞍山森源路桥股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:300210)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流还清债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's Net Debt?

鞍山森源路桥的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge had CN¥371.6m of debt, up from CN¥319.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥14.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥357.6m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,鞍山森源路桥的债务为3.716亿元人民币,高于去年同期的3.193亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,它也有1400万元的现金,因此其净负债为3.576亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300210 Debt to Equity History March 4th 2024
SZSE: 300210 2024 年 3 月 4 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's Balance Sheet?

鞍山森源路桥的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge had liabilities of CN¥471.7m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥67.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥14.0m in cash and CN¥223.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥302.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,鞍山森源路桥在一年内到期的负债为4.717亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为6,790万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有1400万元的现金和2.23亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出3.027亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge shares are worth a total of CN¥6.75b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由于公开交易的鞍山森源路桥股份总价值为67.5亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是鞍山森源路桥的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥173m, which is a fall of 18%. We would much prefer see growth.

在过去的12个月中,鞍山森源路桥在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至1.73亿元人民币,下降了18%。我们更希望看到增长。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥99m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥13m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Anshan Senyuan Road and Bridge you should be aware of.

尽管鞍山森源路桥集团收入的下降几乎像湿毯一样令人心动,但可以说,其息税前收益(EBIT)亏损的吸引力更小。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为9900万元人民币。考虑到除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法修复。但是,去年它消耗了1300万加元的现金,这无济于事。因此,坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。一个很好的例子:我们已经发现了鞍山森源路桥的3个警告标志,你应该注意了。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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