share_log

Is FAW Jiefang GroupLtd (SZSE:000800) Using Too Much Debt?

Is FAW Jiefang GroupLtd (SZSE:000800) Using Too Much Debt?

一汽解放集团有限公司(深交所股票代码:000800)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  02/28 20:22

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that FAW Jiefang Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000800) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,一汽解放集团有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000800)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:债务创造了多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代一家有能力以高回报率进行再投资的公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is FAW Jiefang GroupLtd's Debt?

一汽解放集团有限公司的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, FAW Jiefang GroupLtd had CN¥31.6m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥32.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥32.5b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,一汽解放集团有限公司拥有3160万元人民币的债务,高于去年同期的零债务。点击图片查看更多细节。但它也有325亿元人民币的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为325亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000800 Debt to Equity History February 29th 2024
SZSE: 000800 2024 年 2 月 29 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At FAW Jiefang GroupLtd's Liabilities

一汽解放集团有限公司的负债一览

According to the last reported balance sheet, FAW Jiefang GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥45.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥5.12b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥32.5b as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.64b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥9.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,一汽解放集团有限公司的负债为451亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为51.2亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有325亿元人民币的现金以及价值86.4亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出90.7亿元人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because FAW Jiefang GroupLtd is worth CN¥38.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, FAW Jiefang GroupLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if FAW Jiefang GroupLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种赤字还不错,因为一汽解放集团有限公司的市值为389亿元人民币,因此,如果有需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但一汽解放集团有限公司的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定一汽解放集团有限公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, FAW Jiefang GroupLtd reported revenue of CN¥56b, which is a gain of 38%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

在过去的12个月中,一汽解放集团有限公司公布的收入为560亿元人民币,增长了38%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。股东们可能对它能够实现盈利抱有疑虑。

So How Risky Is FAW Jiefang GroupLtd?

那么,一汽解放集团有限公司的风险有多大?

While FAW Jiefang GroupLtd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥1.4b. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. One positive is that FAW Jiefang GroupLtd is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for FAW Jiefang GroupLtd you should be aware of.

尽管一汽解放集团有限公司在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但其实际账面利润为14亿元人民币。因此,从面值来看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不大。一个积极因素是,一汽解放集团有限公司的收入正在迅速增长,这使得推销增长故事并在需要时筹集资金变得更加容易。但是我们仍然认为这有点危险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们发现了一汽解放集团有限公司的1个警告标志,你应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发