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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Wisdom Education International Holdings' (HKG:6068) Earnings

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Wisdom Education International Holdings' (HKG:6068) Earnings

投资者不应该对智慧教育国际控股(HKG: 6068)的收益过于满意
Simply Wall St ·  01/04 18:10

Wisdom Education International Holdings Company Limited (HKG:6068) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

智慧教育国际控股有限公司(HKG: 6068)宣布盈利强劲,但该股停滞不前。我们的分析表明,股东们注意到了一些令人担忧的数字。

View our latest analysis for Wisdom Education International Holdings

查看我们对智慧教育国际控股的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:6068 Earnings and Revenue History January 4th 2024
SEHK: 6068 2024 年 1 月 4 日的收益和收入记录

Zooming In On Wisdom Education International Holdings' Earnings

放大智慧教育国际控股的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以公司在该时期内的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司有多少利润没有自由现金流支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

Over the twelve months to August 2023, Wisdom Education International Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥12m, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥163.1m. Wisdom Education International Holdings' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.

在截至2023年8月的十二个月中,智慧教育国际控股的应计比率为0.24。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为1200万元人民币,大大低于其1.631亿加元的利润。Wisdom Education International Holdings的自由现金流实际上在去年有所下降,但明年可能会反弹,因为自由现金流通常比会计利润更具波动性。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Wisdom Education International Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对智慧教育国际控股的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Wisdom Education International Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对智慧教育国际控股盈利表现的看法

Wisdom Education International Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Wisdom Education International Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 71% EPS growth in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Wisdom Education International Holdings you should be mindful of and 2 of these are a bit unpleasant.

去年,Wisdom Education International Holdings没有将其大部分利润转换为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这种情况相当不理想。正因为如此,我们认为智慧教育国际控股的法定利润可能好于其基础盈利能力。但至少持有人可以从去年71%的每股收益增长中得到一些安慰。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。一个很好的例子:我们发现了智慧教育国际控股的4个警告信号,你应该注意,其中两个有点不愉快。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Wisdom Education International Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

本报告仅研究了揭示智慧教育国际控股盈利性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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