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Can Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NYSE:NOG) Maintain Its Strong Returns?

Can Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NYSE:NOG) Maintain Its Strong Returns?

北方石油和天然气公司(纽约证券交易所代码:NOG)能否保持强劲的回报?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/15 05:38

While some investors are already well versed in financial metrics (hat tip), this article is for those who would like to learn about Return On Equity (ROE) and why it is important. We'll use ROE to examine Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NYSE:NOG), by way of a worked example.

尽管一些投资者已经精通财务指标(帽子提示),但本文适合那些想了解股本回报率(ROE)及其重要性的人。我们将使用ROE来检查北方石油和天然气公司(纽约证券交易所代码:NOG),举一个行之有效的例子。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

See our latest analysis for Northern Oil and Gas

查看我们对北方石油和天然气公司的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Northern Oil and Gas is:

因此,根据上述公式,北方石油和天然气公司的投资回报率为:

48% = US$679m ÷ US$1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

48% = 6.79亿美元 ¥14亿美元(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.48 in profit.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。这意味着,每获得价值1美元的股东权益,公司就会产生0.48美元的利润。

Does Northern Oil and Gas Have A Good Return On Equity?

北方石油和天然气的股本回报率是否良好?

Arguably the easiest way to assess company's ROE is to compare it with the average in its industry. The limitation of this approach is that some companies are quite different from others, even within the same industry classification. As is clear from the image below, Northern Oil and Gas has a better ROE than the average (23%) in the Oil and Gas industry.

可以说,评估公司投资回报率的最简单方法是将其与行业平均水平进行比较。这种方法的局限性在于,有些公司与其他公司有很大不同,即使属于相同的行业分类也是如此。从下图可以清楚地看出,北方石油和天然气公司的投资回报率高于石油和天然气行业的平均水平(23%)。

roe
NYSE:NOG Return on Equity December 15th 2023
纽约证券交易所:NOG 股本回报率 2023 年 12 月 15 日

That is a good sign. However, bear in mind that a high ROE doesn't necessarily indicate efficient profit generation. Especially when a firm uses high levels of debt to finance its debt which may boost its ROE but the high leverage puts the company at risk. Our risks dashboardshould have the 5 risks we have identified for Northern Oil and Gas.

这是个好兆头。但是,请记住,高投资回报率并不一定表示可以有效地创造利润。尤其是当一家公司使用高额债务为债务融资时,这可能会提高其投资回报率,但高杠杆率使公司面临风险。我们的风险仪表板应包含我们为北方石油和天然气公司确定的5种风险。

Why You Should Consider Debt When Looking At ROE

为什么在考虑投资回报率时应该考虑债务

Most companies need money -- from somewhere -- to grow their profits. The cash for investment can come from prior year profits (retained earnings), issuing new shares, or borrowing. In the case of the first and second options, the ROE will reflect this use of cash, for growth. In the latter case, the debt required for growth will boost returns, but will not impact the shareholders' equity. In this manner the use of debt will boost ROE, even though the core economics of the business stay the same.

大多数公司需要来自某个地方的资金来增加利润。投资现金可以来自上一年度的利润(留存收益)、发行新股或借款。就第一和第二种选择而言,投资回报率将反映现金的使用情况,以实现增长。在后一种情况下,增长所需的债务将提高回报,但不会影响股东的权益。通过这种方式,债务的使用将提高投资回报率,尽管业务的核心经济保持不变。

Northern Oil and Gas' Debt And Its 48% ROE

北方石油和天然气公司的债务及其48%的投资回报率

Northern Oil and Gas clearly uses a high amount of debt to boost returns, as it has a debt to equity ratio of 1.46. While no doubt that its ROE is impressive, we would have been even more impressed had the company achieved this with lower debt. Investors should think carefully about how a company might perform if it was unable to borrow so easily, because credit markets do change over time.

北方石油和天然气公司显然使用大量债务来提高回报,因为它的债务权益比率为1.46。尽管毫无疑问,其投资回报率令人印象深刻,但如果该公司以较低的债务实现这一目标,我们会给我们留下更深刻的印象。投资者应该仔细考虑如果一家公司无法如此轻易地借款,它会如何表现,因为信贷市场确实会随着时间的推移而变化。

Summary

摘要

Return on equity is useful for comparing the quality of different businesses. In our books, the highest quality companies have high return on equity, despite low debt. If two companies have the same ROE, then I would generally prefer the one with less debt.

股本回报率对于比较不同业务的质量很有用。在我们的账簿中,尽管债务很低,但质量最高的公司的股本回报率却很高。如果两家公司的投资回报率相同,那么我通常更喜欢负债较少的公司。

Having said that, while ROE is a useful indicator of business quality, you'll have to look at a whole range of factors to determine the right price to buy a stock. It is important to consider other factors, such as future profit growth -- and how much investment is required going forward. So I think it may be worth checking this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

话虽如此,尽管投资回报率是衡量业务质量的有用指标,但您必须考虑一系列因素才能确定购买股票的正确价格。重要的是要考虑其他因素,例如未来的利润增长以及未来需要多少投资。因此,我认为可能值得查看这份关于分析师对公司的预测的免费报告。

Of course Northern Oil and Gas may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have high ROE and low debt.

当然,北方石油和天然气可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这份免费收藏的其他投资回报率高、债务低的公司。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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