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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603565)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603565)?

股票下跌和基本面稳健:市场对上海中谷物流有限公司(SHSE: 603565)的看法是错误的吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/21 21:49

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics' (SHSE:603565) recent performance, when its stock has declined 11% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics' ROE today.

看了上海中谷物流(SHSE: 603565)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时该公司的股票在过去三个月中下跌了11%。但是,仔细观察其稳健的财务状况可能会让您重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常会推动长期市场业绩,该公司值得一看。特别是,我们今天将关注上海中谷物流的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics

查看我们对上海中谷物流的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海中谷物流的投资回报率为:

17% = CN¥1.7b ÷ CN¥10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

17% = 17亿元人民币 ¥10亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.17 in profit.

“回报” 是企业去年获得的收入。将其概念化的一种方法是,公司每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,就能获得0.17CN的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics' Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

上海中谷物流的收益增长和17%的投资回报率

To begin with, Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 9.7% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics' exceptional 26% net income growth seen over the past five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先,上海中谷物流的投资回报率似乎相当可观。尤其是与9.7%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当令人印象深刻。这无疑为上海中谷物流在过去五年中实现了26%的惊人净收入增长增添了一些背景信息。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,公司的管理层可能已经做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的支付率很低。

Next, on comparing Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics' net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 24% over the last few years.

接下来,通过将上海中谷物流的净收入增长与行业进行比较,我们发现该公司报告的增长与过去几年中24%的行业平均增长率相似。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603565 Past Earnings Growth November 22nd 2023
上海证券交易所:603565 过去的收益增长 2023 年 11 月 22 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

赋予公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者应努力确定预期的收益增长或下降(无论情况如何)是否已被定价。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是光明还是不祥。与其他公司相比,上海中谷物流的估值是否公平?这三种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海中谷物流是否有效地将利润再投资?

While the company did pay out a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This is likely what's driving the high earnings growth number discussed above.

尽管该公司过去确实支付了部分股息,但目前不支付股息。这可能是推动上述高收益增长数字的原因。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体而言,我们对上海中谷物流的表现感到非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司对其业务进行大量再投资,而且回报率很高。毫不奇怪,这带来了可观的收益增长。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的收益增长预计将放缓。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师对公司的预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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