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Is Dongguan Chitwing Technology (SZSE:002855) A Risky Investment?

Is Dongguan Chitwing Technology (SZSE:002855) A Risky Investment?

东莞智荣科技(深交所:002855)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/15 19:09

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Dongguan Chitwing Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002855) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,东莞智荣科技有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002855)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的一部分是 “创造性毁灭” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

View our latest analysis for Dongguan Chitwing Technology

查看我们对东莞智荣科技的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Dongguan Chitwing Technology Carry?

东莞赤翼科技背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Dongguan Chitwing Technology had CN¥368.9m of debt, up from CN¥110.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥181.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥187.4m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,东莞极翼科技的债务为3.689亿元人民币,高于去年同期的1.1亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,它也有1.816亿元的现金,因此其净负债为1.874亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002855 Debt to Equity History November 16th 2023
SZSE: 002855 2023 年 11 月 16 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Strong Is Dongguan Chitwing Technology's Balance Sheet?

东莞赤翼科技的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dongguan Chitwing Technology had liabilities of CN¥973.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥357.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥181.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥536.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥612.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,东莞赤翼科技在12个月内到期的负债为9.731亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为3.571亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有1.816亿元的现金以及价值5.362亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出6.124亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded Dongguan Chitwing Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥8.11b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Dongguan Chitwing Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

由于上市的东莞赤翼科技股票总价值为81.1亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为东莞智荣科技需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Dongguan Chitwing Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 31%, to CN¥2.0b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,东莞赤翼科技在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了31%,至20亿元人民币。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Dongguan Chitwing Technology's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥168m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥138m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Dongguan Chitwing Technology .

在过去的十二个月中,东莞赤翼科技不仅收入下滑,而且还产生了负的息税前收益(EBIT)。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为1.68亿元人民币。考虑到这一点,除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法修复。但是,去年它消耗了1.38亿加元的现金,这无济于事。因此,只要说我们确实认为这只股票有风险就足够了。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该注意我们在东莞赤翼科技发现的两个警告标志。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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