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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Hongcheng Environmental Technology (HKG:2265) Shareholders

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Hongcheng Environmental Technology (HKG:2265) Shareholders

盈利问题可能预示着宏成环境科技 (HKG: 2265) 股东面临更大的问题
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 18:06

Despite Hongcheng Environmental Technology Company Limited's (HKG:2265) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.

尽管 宏成环境科技有限公司的 (HKG: 2265) 最近的财报标题数字乏善可陈,市场反应积极。我们认为,股东们可能遗漏了我们分析发现的一些令人担忧的因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Hongcheng Environmental Technology

查看我们对宏成环境科技的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2265 Earnings and Revenue History October 4th 2023
香港联交所:2265 2023 年 10 月 4 日收益和收入记录

Examining Cashflow Against Hongcheng Environmental Technology's Earnings

将现金流与宏成环境科技的收益进行比较

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融爱好者已经知道的那样, 现金流应计比率 是评估公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润相匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正的应计比率是负数。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Hongcheng Environmental Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.33 for the year to June 2023. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥45.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥94m in the last year. We also note that Hongcheng Environmental Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥94m.

截至2023年6月的一年中,宏成环境科技的应计比率为0.33。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这引发了人们对这个利润数字到底有多有用的质疑。尽管该公司公布了4,580万元人民币的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了9400万元人民币。我们还注意到,宏成环境科技去年的自由现金流实际上也是负数,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其9400万元人民币的流出所困扰。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hongcheng Environmental Technology.

注意: 我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对宏成环境科技的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Hongcheng Environmental Technology's Profit Performance

我们对宏成环境科技盈利表现的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Hongcheng Environmental Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Hongcheng Environmental Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Hongcheng Environmental Technology at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Hongcheng Environmental Technology and you'll want to know about this.

正如我们已经明确指出的那样,我们有点担心宏成环境科技没有用自由现金流来支持去年的利润。因此,我们认为宏成环境科技的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。可悲的是,其每股收益在过去十二个月中有所下降。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,那么除了上述因素之外,还必须考虑更多的因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑宏成环境科技目前面临的风险也同样重要。你会很想知道,我们发现了 1 个宏成环境科技的警告标志 你会想知道这个。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hongcheng Environmental Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解宏成环境科技的利润性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多值得探索的地方。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要代表你做一些研究,但你可能会发现这一点 免费的 一系列拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士为了有用而买入的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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