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Moomoo 24/7 ·  2023/11/21 14:01

Federal Reserve officials agreed to "proceed carefully" on rates, reiterating that they need more evidence that inflation was trending down toward their 2% target before they could declare victory in their fight to slow the pace of consumer price gains.

美联储官员同意在利率问题上 “谨慎行事”,他们重申他们需要更多证据证明通货膨胀率已降至2%的目标,然后才能宣布在减缓消费者价格上涨步伐的斗争中获胜。

"All participants agreed that the Committee could proceed carefully and that policy decisions at every meeting would continue to be based on the totality of incoming information and its implications for the economic outlook and the balance of risks," the minutes read. "Further tightening of monetary policy would be appropriate if incoming information indicated that progress toward the Committee's inflation objective was insufficient."

会议纪要写道:“所有与会者都同意,委员会可以谨慎行事,每次会议的政策决定将继续以收到的全部信息及其对经济前景和风险平衡的影响为基础。”“如果收到的信息表明委员会通货膨胀目标的进展不足,则进一步收紧货币政策是适当的。”

While financial conditions have tightened significantly, Fed officials viewed "factors such as a fiscal outlook that suggested greater future supply of Treasury securities than previously thought and increased uncertainty about the economic and policy outlooks as likely having contributed to the rise in the term premiums."They stressed the need to closely monitor market developments, noting that "persistent changes in financial conditions could have implications for the path of monetary policy."

尽管金融状况已大幅收紧,但美联储官员认为,“财政前景表明美国国债未来供应量比先前想象的要多,以及经济和政策前景的不确定性增加等因素可能是期限保费上涨的原因。”他们强调需要密切关注市场发展,并指出 “金融状况的持续变化可能会对货币政策的路径产生影响。”

The staff expects GDP growth to slow "markedly" from its third quarter rate after growing unexpectedly fast. The committee expected PCE inflation should reach 3% by the end of the year. The FOMC also cited risks from a potential government shutdown, student loan payback, and conflict in the Middle East that could impact financial conditions and threaten the progress in the fight to cool inflation.

工作人员预计,在出人意料地快速增长之后,国内生产总值增长将从第三季度 “显著” 放缓。该委员会预计,到今年年底,个人消费支出通胀率将达到3%。联邦公开市场委员会还列举了潜在的政府关闭、学生贷款偿还和中东冲突带来的风险,这些风险可能会影响金融状况并威胁降温通胀的进展。

Officials said the recent tightening of economic conditions driven by higher longer-term yields may have longer consequences than previously thought.

官员们说,最近由较高的长期收益率推动的经济状况紧缩的影响可能比以前想象的要长。

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