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Why Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's (SZSE:002749) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Why Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's (SZSE:002749) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

为什么四川国光农化(SZSE:002749)的收益比看起来的要好
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/21 20:20

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002749) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

市场似乎对上周公布的财报不以为然四川国光农化股份有限公司(SZSE:002749)尽管有健康的数字。我们做了一些分析,以找出原因,并认为投资者可能错过了收益中包含的一些鼓舞人心的因素。

View our latest analysis for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical

查看我们对四川国光农化的最新分析

SZSE:002749 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2022
SZSE:002749收益和收入历史2022年4月22日

Examining Cashflow Against Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's Earnings

考察现金流量与四川国光农化的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高端金融领域,衡量一家公司将报告利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

For the year to December 2021, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical had an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥287m, well over the CN¥206.2m it reported in profit. Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

在截至2021年12月的一年中,四川国光农化的应计比率为-0.14。因此,其法定收益非常显著地低于其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的12个月里,该公司报告的自由现金流为2.87亿加元,远高于其报告的利润2.062亿加元。四川国光农化的自由现金流在过去一年有所改善,总体上是好的。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对四川国光农化的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's Profit Performance

我们对四川国光农化盈利表现的看法

Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 20% over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical you should be aware of.

如上所述,四川国光农化的权责发生率是稳健的,显示出强劲的自由现金流。正因为如此,我们认为四川国光农化的盈利潜力至少和看起来一样好,甚至可能更好!在过去的12个月里,每股收益上涨了20%。本文的目的是评估我们可以在多大程度上依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多东西需要考虑。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,考虑它面临的任何风险是至关重要的。举个例子:我们发现了四川国光农化的一个警告标志,你应该知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我们放大了一个数据点,以更好地了解四川国光农化的利润性质。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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