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Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s (SHSE:688019) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s (SHSE:688019) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

安吉微电子科技(上海)(上海证券交易所代码:688019)的疲软收益可能比看起来的更糟糕
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/21 19:10

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688019) weak earnings. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.

股东们似乎并不太担心安吉微电子科技(上海)有限公司(上海证券交易所:688019)盈利疲软。我们的分析表明,他们可能遗漏了一些与利润数字相关的细节。

See our latest analysis for Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)

查看我们对安吉微电子技术(上海)的最新分析

SHSE:688019 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2022
上海证交所:688019收益和收入历史2022年4月21日

Examining Cashflow Against Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s Earnings

安吉微电子科技(上海)的现金流与盈利的对比研究

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,一般来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说不是一个好兆头。

For the year to December 2021, Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) had an accrual ratio of 0.68. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥180m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥125.1m. It's worth noting that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) generated positive FCF of CN¥9.1m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2021年12月止年度,安吉微电子科技(上海)的应计比率为0.68。从统计上讲,这对未来的收益是一个真正的负面影响。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的一年里,它实际上负面自由现金流为1.8亿元,而前述利润为1.251亿元。值得注意的是,安吉微电子科技(上海)一年前产生了910万元的正FCF,所以至少他们过去做到了。话虽如此,故事中还有更多的东西。应计比率反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响,至少在一定程度上是这样。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道,分析师对未来盈利能力的预测是什么。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于他们估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的项目如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥34m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2021. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

考虑到应计比率,安吉微电子科技(上海)的利润在过去12个月里受到价值3400万元人民币的不寻常项目的提振也就不足为奇了。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当不寻常的项目做出了很大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的不寻常项目往往不会重复。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。我们可以看到,安吉微电子科技(上海)的积极异常项目与其截至2021年12月的年度利润相比相当重要。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的项目使其法定利润比其他情况下要强劲得多。

Our Take On Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s Profit Performance

我们对安吉微电子科技(上海)盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you want to do dive deeper into Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

综上所述,安吉微电子科技(上海)从不寻常的项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但其账面利润与自由现金流无法匹配。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼安吉微电子科技(上海)的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比实际情况更好。如果你真的想更深入地研究安吉微电子科技(上海),你也应该看看它目前面临着什么风险。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了安吉微电子科技(上海)的两个警示信号(其中一个令人担忧!),你应该知道。

Our examination of Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对安吉微电子科技(上海)的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可以让它的收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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