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Huida Sanitary Ware's (SHSE:603385) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Huida Sanitary Ware's (SHSE:603385) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

惠达卫浴(上海证券交易所代码:603385)疲软的收益可能只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/21 18:31

A lackluster earnings announcement from Huida Sanitary Ware Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603385) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

一份平淡无奇的财报惠达卫浴有限公司(上海证券交易所:603385)上周的股价并没有下跌。然而,我们认为投资者应该意识到一些可能令人担忧的潜在因素。

View our latest analysis for Huida Sanitary Ware

查看我们对惠达卫浴的最新分析

SHSE:603385 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2022
上海证交所:603385收益和收入历史2022年4月21日

Zooming In On Huida Sanitary Ware's Earnings

放大惠达卫浴的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Huida Sanitary Ware recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥498m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥235.3m. We saw that FCF was CN¥500m a year ago though, so Huida Sanitary Ware has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Huida Sanitary Ware's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2021年12月的12个月内,汇达卫浴的应计比率为0.23。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这很难说是一件好事。在过去的一年里,它实际上负面自由现金流为4.98亿元,而前述利润为2.353亿元。虽然一年前我们看到FCF是5亿元人民币,所以惠达卫浴至少在过去能够产生正的FCF。话虽如此,故事中还有更多的东西。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。对股东来说,好消息是,辉达卫浴去年的应计比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕读数可能只是利润和FCF短期错配的一个例子。因此,一些股东可能希望在本年度实现更强劲的现金转换。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道,分析师对未来盈利能力的预测是什么。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于他们估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Huida Sanitary Ware's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥40m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Huida Sanitary Ware doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考虑到应计比率,惠达卫浴的利润在过去12个月里受到价值4000万元人民币的不寻常项目的提振也就不足为奇了。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当不寻常的项目做出了很大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们分析了数千家上市公司的数据时,我们发现,在给定的一年中,不寻常的项目往往会带来提振第二年又重复了一遍。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。如果惠达卫浴没有看到这种贡献再次出现,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计它的利润将在本年度下降。

Our Take On Huida Sanitary Ware's Profit Performance

我们如何看待惠达卫浴的盈利表现

Huida Sanitary Ware had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Huida Sanitary Ware's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Huida Sanitary Ware (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

惠达卫浴的应计比率较低,但其利润确实得到了不寻常项目的提振。基于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼惠达卫浴的法定利润,可能会让它看起来比实际情况更好。请记住,在分析一只股票时,值得注意其中的风险。例如,我们已经为惠达卫浴确定了4个警示标志(1个是有点令人担忧的),你应该熟悉。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一些可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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