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We Think China Starch Holdings' (HKG:3838) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

We Think China Starch Holdings' (HKG:3838) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

我们认为中国淀粉控股(HKG:3838)的利润只是他们能够实现的一个基线
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/20 20:30

China Starch Holdings Limited (HKG:3838) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

中国淀粉控股有限公司(HKG:3838)最近公布了一些强劲的收益,市场反应积极。我们做了一些挖掘,发现了一些投资者会喜欢的进一步鼓舞人心的因素。

See our latest analysis for China Starch Holdings

查看我们对中国淀粉控股的最新分析

SEHK:3838 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2022
联交所:3838盈利及收入历史2022年4月21日

Examining Cashflow Against China Starch Holdings' Earnings

考察现金流与中国淀粉控股的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融书呆子们已经知道的那样,现金流应计比率是评估一家公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, China Starch Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥712m, well over the CN¥345.6m it reported in profit. Given that China Starch Holdings had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥712m would seem to be a step in the right direction. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2021年12月的12个月内,中国淀粉控股的应计比率为-0.13。因此,它的法定收益比自由现金流要少得多。事实上,在过去的12个月里,该公司报告的自由现金流为7.12亿加元,远高于其报告的3.456亿加元的利润。鉴于此前同期中国淀粉控股的自由现金流为负,后续12个月7.12亿元的业绩似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。话虽如此,故事中还有更多的东西。应计比率反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响,至少在一定程度上是这样。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Starch Holdings.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对中国淀粉控股的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

Surprisingly, given China Starch Holdings' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥34m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

令人意外的是,鉴于中国淀粉控股的应计比率意味着强劲的现金转换,其账面利润实际上得到了3400万加元不寻常项目的提振。虽然有更高的利润总是好事,但不寻常的东西带来的巨大贡献有时会挫伤我们的热情。当我们分析了数千家上市公司的数据时,我们发现,在给定的一年中,不寻常的项目往往会带来提振第二年又重复了一遍。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。假设这些不同寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,我们因此预计明年的利润会更弱(也就是说,在没有业务增长的情况下)。

Our Take On China Starch Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对中国淀粉控股公司盈利表现的看法

China Starch Holdings' profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Considering the aforementioned, we think that China Starch Holdings' profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we'd be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. If you'd like to know more about China Starch Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Starch Holdings (including 1 which is significant).

中国淀粉控股的利润从不寻常的项目中获得提振,这表明它们可能无法持续,但其应计比率仍显示出稳健的现金转换,这是有希望的。考虑到上述情况,我们认为中国淀粉控股的利润可能合理地反映了其潜在的盈利能力;尽管如果我们看到一套更干净的业绩,我们会对这一结论充满信心。如果你想更多地了解中国淀粉控股作为一家企业,了解它面临的任何风险是很重要的。为此,你应该了解一下我们发现的中国淀粉控股的3个警告信号(包括1个重要的警告信号)。

Our examination of China Starch Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对中国淀粉控股的审查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让该公司的收益看起来比实际情况更好。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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