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ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's (SZSE:301079) Problems Go Beyond Poor Profit

ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's (SZSE:301079) Problems Go Beyond Poor Profit

邵阳维多液压股份有限公司(SZSE:301079)的问题不仅仅是利润不佳
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/15 21:26

ShaoYang Victor Hydraulics Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:301079) stock wasn't much affected by its recent lackluster earnings numbers. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.

邵阳维克多液压设备有限公司(SZSE:301079)近期低迷的盈利数据对股市影响不大。我们做了一些分析,发现了法定利润数字下的一些相关细节。

Check out our latest analysis for ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd

查看我们对邵阳维多液压有限公司的最新分析

SZSE:301079 Earnings and Revenue History April 16th 2022
SZSE:301079收益和收入历史2022年4月16日

A Closer Look At ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's Earnings

仔细看看邵阳维多液压有限公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。简单地说,这个比率是从净利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

For the year to December 2021, ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥20m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥50.9m. It's worth noting that ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥34m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2021年12月的一年,邵阳维多液压有限公司的应计比率为0.29。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其法定利润,这让我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。在过去的一年里,它实际上负面自由现金流为2000万元,而前述利润为5090万元。值得注意的是,邵阳维多水务有限公司一年前产生了3400万元的正FCF,所以至少他们过去做到了。话虽如此,故事中还有更多的东西。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对邵阳维多液压有限公司的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥13m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

该公司去年有一些不寻常的项目使利润增加了1300万加元,这一事实可能在某种程度上解释了为什么它的应计比率如此之低。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常会让我们保持乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们分析了数千家上市公司的数据时,我们发现,在给定的一年中,不寻常的项目往往会带来提振第二年又重复了一遍。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。假设这些不同寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,我们因此预计明年的利润会更弱(也就是说,在没有业务增长的情况下)。

Our Take On ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's Profit Performance

我们对邵阳维多液压有限公司利润表现的看法

Summing up, ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

综上所述,邵阳维多液压有限公司从不寻常的项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但账面利润与自由现金流无法匹配。考虑到这一切,我们认为邵阳维多水电有限公司的利润可能给人一种过于慷慨的印象,表明其可持续的盈利水平。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司做更多的分析,了解其中的风险是至关重要的。例如,邵阳维多液压有限公司有两个警示标志(还有一个有点令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一些可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。

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