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Plug Power Isn’t Your Best Bet From Defiance ETFs Green Hydrogen Fund

Plug Power Isn’t Your Best Bet From Defiance ETFs Green Hydrogen Fund

Defiance ETF绿色氢气基金的Plug Power不是你最好的赌注
InvestorPlace ·  2022/03/01 06:12

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It's been nine months since I last wrote about Plug Power (NASDAQ:PLUG) stock. Plug Power went on a wild ride in those nine months.

我上一次写这篇文章已经九个月了插头电源(纳斯达克:插头)股票。Plug Power在这九个月里一路狂奔。

Source: Alexander Kirch / Shutterstock.com
消息来源:Alexander Kirch/Shutterstock.com

Now trading where it did last May, it appears that $20 is set up as a support line for the developer of hydrogen fuel cell systems.

现在的交易价格与去年5月持平,似乎为氢燃料电池系统的开发商设立了20美元的支撑线。

On three occasions over the past year, whenever PLUG got near $20, it would shoot higher. On May 10, 2021, it hit $20; less than a month later, it was $35. In August, it got as low as $23.53 before climbing to $45 in mid-November. On the last occasion in late January 2022, it dropped into the teens before recovering to $25, where it stands at this writing. 

在过去的一年里,有三次,每当Plug接近20美元时,它就会飙升。2021年5月10日,它触及20美元;不到一个月后,它是35美元。8月份,金价一度跌至23.53美元,11月中旬攀升至45美元。上一次是在2022年1月下旬,它跌到了十几岁,然后回升到25美元,也就是本文写作时的水平。

So, from where I sit, if you're comfortable investing in companies with lots of potential and plenty of financial losses, Plug Power seems to be trading at or near a good entry point.

因此,在我看来,如果你乐于投资于潜力巨大、财务亏损严重的公司,那么Plug Power似乎是一个很好的切入点或接近一个很好的切入点。

InvestorPlace contributor Christian Docan recently mentioned the Defiance Next Gen H2 ETF (NYSEARCA:HDRO) while discussing Plug Power's bearish momentum. Docan believes that the share price will fall further in 2022. He prefers waiting for the company to improve its cost structure while delivering on some of its investments.

InvestorPlace撰稿人克里斯蒂安·多坎最近提到Defiance下一代H2 ETF(NYSEArca:HDRO)在讨论插头电源时看跌势头。多坎认为,2022年股价将进一步下跌。他更喜欢等待公司改善成本结构,同时兑现一些投资。

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That's a fair argument. 

这是一个合理的论点。

However, it got me thinking about the 25 holdings in HDRO. Although Plug Power is the ETFs top holding with a weighting of 9.09%, it's not necessarily the best investment held by the ETF.

然而,这让我想起了HDRO持有的25个股份。尽管Plug Power以9.09%的权重是ETF的最高持有量,但它不一定是ETF持有的最佳投资。

So, if not PLUG, then who? I'll consider the possibilities.

那么,如果不插电,那会是谁呢?我会考虑各种可能性的。

The Obvious Alternative to PLUG Stock

Plug Stock的明显替代方案

Before I get into a couple of the names that might be better investments than Plug Power, the most obvious alternative is staring investors in the face. 

在我讨论几个可能比Plug Power更好的投资之前,最明显的选择是盯着投资者的脸。

Buy HDRO. Then you don't have to pick the best green hydrogen stock. Instead, if green energy is the real deal, five years from now, you'll win whether PLUG Power delivered the bulk of the ETF's returns. 

购买HDRO。这样你就不必挑选最好的绿色氢气原料了。相反,如果绿色能源是真正的交易,五年后,无论Plug Power是否提供了ETF的大部分回报,你都将获胜。

Mind you, HDRO doesn't have a lot of assets – $47.9 million – for an ETF that's been around for almost a year. For example, the Engine No. 1 Transform Climate ETF (BATS:NETZ) launched just a month ago and it's already got $67.5 million in total net assets. 

请注意,HDRO没有太多资产-4790万美元-对于一只存在了近一年的ETF来说。例如,一号引擎转型气候ETF(BATS:NETZ)一个月前刚刚推出,现在已经募集到6750万美元在总净资产中。

It's a competitive market out there. The faster you can get to $100 million; the more likely an ETF will stick around for the long haul. 

这是一个竞争激烈的市场。你越快达到1亿美元,ETF就越有可能长期存在。

Defiance's investment case states the following:

迪法恩斯的投资案例说明以下内容:

Bank of America has compared the current phase of the hydrogen market to smartphones pre-2007 and the internet pre-dot.com. It estimates that hydrogen will generate 24% of our energy needs by 2050, creating as much as $11 trillion in investment opportunities over the next three decades.

美国银行(Bank Of America)将当前阶段的氢气市场与2007年前的智能手机和互联网之前的dot.com相提并论。它估计,到2050年,氢气将产生24%的能源需求,在未来30年创造高达11万亿美元的投资机会。

If you're considering owning PLUG because of this argument, doesn't it make more sense to have the power of 25 holdings behind you to ride the wave?

如果你因为这个争论而考虑拥有Plug,那么拥有25家控股公司的力量不是更有意义吗?

I know you don't want to pay the 0.75% management expense. Well, if hydrogen pays off like Bank of America thinks it will, you won't be complaining in 2050 about your fees paid.

我知道你不想支付0.75%的管理费。嗯,如果氢气像美国银行认为的那样得到了回报,你就不会在2050年抱怨你支付的费用了。

The 2 Possible Choices

两种可能的选择

The fifth-largest holding at 5.55% is Air Liquide (OTCMKTS:AIQUY), the French provider of industrial gases, to over 3.8 million customers in 78 countries. 

持股比例为5.55%的第五大持股是液化空气(OTCMKTS:AIQUY),法国工业气体供应商,向Over78个国家和地区的380万客户。

It makes a profit. In 2021, it earned 2.57 billion Euros ($2.89 billion). Over the past 30 years, it's grown revenues, earnings per share, and dividends per share by 5.4%, 6.7%, and 8.3%, respectively, compounded annually.      

它是有利可图的。2021年,它赚了25.7亿欧元(28.9亿美元)。在过去的30年里,它的收入、每股收益和每股股息分别以每年5.4%、6.7%和8.3%的复合增长率增长。

In November 2021, the company announced that it was partnering with Eni (NYSE:E) to invest in building hydrogen refueling stations in Italy.  

2021年11月,该公司宣布它的合作伙伴埃尼(纽约证券交易所股票代码:E)在意大利投资建设氢气加气站。

"The partnership will leverage Air Liquide's expertise across the entire hydrogen value chain (production, transportation, storage and distribution) and Eni's expertise in commercial and retail activities coupled with the availability of an extended network of service stations," stated the press release.

新闻稿称:“这一合作关系将利用液化空气在整个氢气价值链(生产、运输、储存和分销)上的专业知识,以及埃尼在商业和零售活动方面的专业知识,以及广泛的加油站网络的可用性。”

"This cooperation aims to promote the development of technologies, skills and infrastructures to enable hydrogen mobility, also evaluating partnerships with other relevant players."

这项合作旨在促进技术、技能和基础设施的发展,以实现氢气流动,并评估与其他相关参与者的伙伴关系。“

Air Liquide's shares have delivered good, if not great, returns over the long haul. However, hydrogen could be the game-changer. 

从长期来看,液化空气的股票带来了不错的回报(如果不是很高的话)。然而,氢气可能会改变游戏规则。

The second possibility is Ceres Power Holdings (OTCMKTS:CPWHF). It's spent the last 20 years developing SteelCell fuel cell technology embedded into existing products such as natural gas and hydrogen. 

第二种可能性是Ceres Power Holdings(OTCMKTS:CPWHF)。在过去的20年里,它一直在开发嵌入到天然气和氢气等现有产品中的钢铁电池燃料电池技术。

However, like Plug Power, it loses money, so you're no further ahead if you only want to bet on profitable companies.

然而,像Plug Power一样,它也是赔钱的,所以如果你只想押注于盈利的公司,你就不会再领先了。

The Bottom Line

底线

When it comes to innovative, new technologies, I think thematic ETFs make a lot of sense. It reduces the company-specific risk while benefiting from the theory that "a rising tide lifts all boats."

当谈到创新、新技术时,我认为主题ETF很有意义。它降低了公司特有的风险,同时受益于“水涨船高”的理论。

That's not to say I don't think PLUG is an exciting company, because it sure is. However, it's always good to look at alternatives. They're available. 

这并不是说我不认为Plug是一家令人兴奋的公司,因为它确实是一家令人兴奋的公司。然而,寻找替代方案总是很好的。他们是有空的。

On the date of publication, Will Ashworth did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,威尔·阿什沃斯没有(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com发布指南.

Will Ashworth has written about investments full-time since 2008. Publications where he's appeared include InvestorPlace, The Motley Fool Canada, Investopedia, Kiplinger, and several others in both the U.S. and Canada. He particularly enjoys creating model portfolios that stand the test of time. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia. 

威尔·阿什沃思(Will Ashworth)自2008年以来一直全职撰写有关投资的文章。他现身的出版物包括InvestorPlace,The Motley Fool Canada,Investopedia,Kiplinger,以及美国和加拿大的其他几家出版物。他尤其喜欢创建经得起时间考验的模型投资组合。他住在新斯科舍省的哈利法克斯。

The post Plug Power Isn't Your Best Bet From Defiance ETFs Green Hydrogen Fund appeared first on InvestorPlace.

Defiance ETF的POST Plug Power不是你最好的赌注绿色氢气基金首先出现在InvestorPlace上。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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