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7 Nickel Stocks to Buy if You Missed Out on Talon Metals’ Takeoff

7 Nickel Stocks to Buy if You Missed Out on Talon Metals’ Takeoff

如果你错过了 Talon Metals 的起飞,可以买入 7 只镍股
InvestorPlace ·  2022/01/18 15:42

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There are many reasons to consider commodities stocks at present. For one, they can generally act as a hedge against inflation when fiat currency acts in unexpected ways. Two, investors remain very aware that commodities are integral parts of supply chains across every industry. In times like these when supply chain issues are highly prevalent, commodities can rise quickly. 

目前有很多理由考虑大宗商品库存。首先,当法定货币以出人意料的方式运作时,它们通常可以起到对冲通胀的作用。第二,投资者仍然非常清楚,大宗商品是每个行业供应链不可或缺的一部分。在这种供应链问题高度普遍的时期,大宗商品可能会迅速上涨。

And, as in the case of Talon Metals (OTCMKTS:TLOFF), some commodities are important to rapidly-growing industries. It's no secret that electric vehicle (EV) battery production requires heavy metals. Lithium has been often cited as one to watch by investors seeking vital components to invest in within the EV sector. 

而且,与Talon Metals(OTCMKTS:TLOFF)的情况一样,一些大宗商品对快速增长的行业非常重要。电动汽车(EV)电池的生产需要重金属,这已不是什么秘密。锂经常被投资者引用为一种值得关注的产品,这些投资者寻求在电动汽车行业投资关键零部件。

But Talon Metals supplies nickel, another vitally important element in EV battery production. It was on Jan. 10 that the company announced it had signed a deal to supply nickel concentrate to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). The six-year agreement has investors scrambling to understand the nickel market as it relates to EV battery production. 

但Talon Metals供应镍,这是电动汽车电池生产中另一种至关重要的元素。1月10日,该公司宣布已签署向以下公司供应镍精矿的协议特斯拉(纳斯达克:特斯拉)。这份为期6年的协议让投资者争先恐后地了解镍市场,因为它与电动汽车电池生产有关。

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That means one thing: Investors want to know which nickel stocks could be next. Let's take a look at the strongest operators who might announce similar deals moving forward:

这意味着一件事:投资者想知道下一个可能是哪些镍库存。让我们来看看未来可能宣布类似交易的实力最强的运营商:

  • Norilsk Nickel (OTCMKTS:NILSY
  • IGO Ltd. (OTCMKTS:IIDDY)
  • Canada Nickel (OTCMKTS:CNIKF)
  • Vale (NYSE:VALE)
  • Glencore (OTCMKTS:GLNCY)
  • North American Nickel (OTCMKTS:WSCRF)
  • PolyMet Mining (NYSEAMERICAN:PLM)
  • 诺里尔斯克镍业(OTCMKTS:NILSY)
  • IGO有限公司(OTCMKTS:IIDDY)
  • 加拿大镍(OTCMKTS:CNIKF)
  • 谷谷(纽约证券交易所:淡水河谷)
  • 嘉能可(OTCMKTS:GLNCY)
  • 北美镍(OTCMKTS:WSCRF)
  • 聚甲基硅烷采矿法(NYSEAMERICAN:PLM)

Nickel Stocks: Norilsk Nickel (NILSY) 

镍库存:诺里尔斯克镍业(Norilsk Nickel)

Source: T. Schneider / Shutterstock
消息来源:T.Schneider/Shutterstock

Norilsk Nickel, or Nornickel, was the world's largest nickel producer in 2020. The company produced 178,200 metric tons of the metal in the year. It has also long been the world's leading producer of the metal. 

诺里尔斯克镍业是2020年全球最大的镍生产商。该公司全年生产了17.82万吨这种金属。长期以来,中国一直是全球领先的黄金生产商。

So, if nickel prices and production continue to rise, Nornickel is worth considering due to its strong position alone. The firm has seen nickel revenues increase in the last few years as the metal rises to a more prominent role. In the first half of 2020, Nornickel recorded $1.26 billion in nickel revenue. That increased by 34% in the first half of 2021, reaching nearly $1.7 billion. 

因此,如果镍价和产量继续上涨,仅凭诺镍的强势地位就值得考虑。过去几年,随着镍的地位上升,该公司的镍收入有所增加。2020年上半年,诺镍公司录得12.6亿美元的镍收入。2021年上半年,这一数字增长了34%,达到近17亿美元。

On the one hand, Nornickel is clearly worth consideration due to its scale. However, there are some negatives to be aware of. One is simply tax changes. As of Aug. 1, 2021, a 15% nickel export duty has been imposed on the firm. That implies Nornickel could be less attractive than nickel producers more proximal to EV production — particularly those in the U.S. 

一方面,诺尼克的规模显然值得考虑。然而,也有一些负面因素需要注意。其中一个很简单,就是税收改革。截至2021年8月1日,该公司已被征收15%的镍出口关税。这意味着诺镍公司的吸引力可能不如更接近电动汽车生产的镍生产商--特别是美国的生产商。

That said, NILSY stock maintains an overweight rating with a few dollars of price appreciation baked into target prices. 

话虽如此,NILSY股票仍维持增持评级,目标价中包含了几美元的价格升值。

IGO Ltd. (IIDDY)

IGO有限公司(IIDDY)

Source: Evgeny_V / Shutterstock
来源:Evgeny_V/Shutterstock

IGO Ltd. is an Australian miner which last counted 208,000 tons of nickel resources under its control. In addition, it also has 163,000 tons of nickel ore reserves. The company isn't a pure play nickel miner: It also has significant operations in copper, cobalt and gold as well. 

IGO有限公司是一家澳大利亚矿商,上一次其控制的镍资源为20.8万吨。此外,它还拥有16.3万吨镍矿石储量。该公司并不是一家纯粹的镍矿商:它还拥有重要的铜、钴和黄金业务。

But let's put that into perspective by comparing IGO's nickel resources with those at Talon Metals. Tesla has committed to purchase 75,000 tons of nickel from Talon Metals over six years. Thus, it's clear that IGO Ltd. could easily supply another EV battery manufacturer given its proven nickel reserves. 

但让我们通过将IGO的镍资源与Talon Metals的镍资源进行比较来正确看待这一点。特斯拉已承诺在六年内从Talon Metals购买7.5万吨镍。因此,考虑到已探明的镍储量,IGO Ltd.显然可以很容易地向另一家电动汽车电池制造商供货。

The company maintains 100% ownership over its Nova Operation in Western Australia. The Nova Operation is expected to produce between 27,000 to 29,000 tons of nickel in fiscal year 2021. 

该公司对其在西澳大利亚的Nova业务保持100%的所有权。Nova业务预计在2021财年生产27,000至29,000吨镍。

Another interesting aspect of IGO Ltd. is that its stock has only been trading publicly since March of 2021. It began trading at $9.58 and has risen steadily since. It now trades above $16 and has strong analyst backing.

IGO Ltd.另一个有趣的方面是,它的股票从2021年3月才开始公开交易。该股开盘报9.58美元,此后稳步上涨。它现在的交易价格在16美元以上,并得到了分析师的大力支持。

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However, it is also above their target prices currently. That suggests it is either performing extremely strongly and was undervalued, or that it could fall soon. 

不过,目前也高于他们的目标价。这表明,它要么表现极其强劲,被低估,要么可能很快就会下跌。

Nickel Stocks: Canada Nickel (CNIKF)

镍库存:加拿大镍业(CNIKF)

Source: AlexLMX / Shutterstock
来源:AlexLMX/Shutterstock

Canada Nickel believes the nickel demand is underestimated by 15%. It forecasts that demand growth is set to double by 2030. 

加拿大镍业认为镍需求被低估了15%。它预测,到2030年,需求增长将翻一番。

Canada Nickel attributes this growth to EV battery production. The company basically sees the demand for nickel use in EV batteries increasing by 20% annually between now and 2030. 

加拿大镍业将这一增长归因于电动汽车电池的生产。该公司预计,从现在到2030年,电动汽车电池对镍的需求将以每年20%的速度增长。

Canada Nickel's latest investor presentation makes note of Tesla's role in that demand. It contains a quote from Elon Musk which reads: "… please mine more nickel … Tesla will give you a giant contract for a long period of time if you mine nickel efficiently and in an environmentally sensitive way."

加拿大镍业的最新投资者介绍指出了特斯拉在这一需求中所扮演的角色。其中引用了埃隆·马斯克的一句话:“请多开采镍,如果你以环保的方式高效开采镍,特斯拉将为你提供一份长期的巨额合同。”(…Pure Me More Net…)

Musk made that call to action back in the summer of 2020. Here we are in early 2022, and Talon Metals looks to be the first beneficiary to heed his call. But again, Canada Nickel, like other nickel producing companies, has a great opportunity at its feet. 

马斯克在2020年夏天发出了采取行动的呼吁。我们现在是在2022年初,塔龙金属公司似乎是第一个响应他的呼吁的受益者。但再一次,加拿大镍业和其他镍生产公司一样,面临着巨大的机遇。

It's clear Tesla isn't the only EV battery producer which will demand nickel moving forward. Canada Nickel's Crawford Nickel-Cobalt Project is its ticket. It is projected to produce 42,000 tons of nickel annually when it reaches peak production. 

很明显,特斯拉并不是唯一一家未来需要镍的电动汽车电池生产商。加拿大镍业的克劳福德镍钴项目就是它的门票。预计当产量达到顶峰时,该公司的镍年产量将达到4.2万吨。

Vale (VALE) 

淡水河谷(Vale)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

Vale is a giant mining conglomerate with a more diversified base than other companies on this list. As per the company website, Vale claims to be "the world's largest producer of iron ore, pellets, and nickel."

淡水河谷是一家大型矿业集团,与榜单上的其他公司相比,其基础更加多元化。根据该公司的网站,淡水河谷自称是“世界上最大的铁矿石、球团矿和镍生产商”。

In 2020, however, Vale was bested by Norilsk Nickel in terms of nickel production. It looks like Nornickel produced 178,200 tons of nickel while Vale produced 167,600 tons. In its most recent quarter, Vale produced 30,200 tons of nickel. That was a 27.2% decrease sequentially from the second quarter.

然而,在2020年,淡水河谷的镍产量被诺里尔斯克镍业击败。看起来诺镍公司的镍产量为17.82万吨,而淡水河谷的镍产量为16.76万吨。在最近一个季度,淡水河谷生产了3.02万吨镍。这比第二季度下降了27.2%。

The good news is that the decrease was primarily due to a labor dispute at the firm's Sudbury operations. That dispute has been resolved, meaning nickel production figures should rise again. 

好消息是,下降的主要原因是该公司萨德伯里业务的劳资纠纷。这一争端已经得到解决,这意味着镍产量数据应该会再次上升。

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And even with the disruption, Vale has given guidance that it should reach between 165-170 kilotons of nickel production in 2021. Yes, it is a diversified nickel producer, meaning it can't capitalize as quickly on nickel prices and demand as pure play firms. But at the same time, it has scale advantages which can't be replicated. 

即使出现了中断,淡水河谷也给出了指引,称2021年镍产量应达到165至170千吨。是的,它是一家多元化的镍生产商,这意味着它不能像纯粹的公司那样迅速从镍价和需求中获利。但与此同时,它拥有不可复制的规模优势。

Nickel Stocks: Glencore (GLNCY)

镍库存:嘉能可(Glencore)

Source: Marlon Trottmann / Shutterstock
消息来源:马龙·特罗特曼/Shutterstock

Glencore is another massive, diversified company which also produces nickel. In fact, it was the third-largest nickel producer globally in 2020 at 101,600 tons of nickel. The firm's operations span metals and minerals, energy, marketing and recycling. 

嘉能可是另一家也生产镍的大型多元化公司。事实上,2020年,中国是全球第三大镍生产国,镍产量为10.16万吨。该公司的业务涵盖金属和矿产、能源、营销和回收。

Within its metals and minerals division, the company focuses on roughly a half a dozen metals. In short, it is a highly diversified firm. A pure-play nickel company, it is not. The firm has nickel assets in Asia, Australia, Canada and Europe and derived $591 million in EBITDA from those operations in 2020. 

在其金属和矿产部门,该公司专注于大约六种金属。简而言之,它是一家高度多元化的公司。它不是一家纯粹的镍公司。该公司在亚洲、澳大利亚、加拿大和欧洲拥有镍资产,2020年从这些业务中获得了5.91亿美元的EBITDA。

I mentioned that the firm produced 101,600 tons of nickel in 2020. At the same time, it sold 149,000 tons of nickel in the same period. The company will likely be looking to up its reserves and production as a result. 

我提到,该公司在2020年生产了10.16万吨镍。与此同时,该公司同期销售了14.9万吨镍。因此,该公司可能会寻求增加储量和产量。

Glencore should be attractive for environmental, social and governance (ESG) investors as well. The firm has a stated goal of reaching net-zero emissions by 2050.

嘉能可对环境、社会和治理(ESG)投资者也应该具有吸引力。该公司有一个明确的目标,即到2050年实现净零排放。

North American Nickel (WSCRF)

北美镍(WSCRF)

Source: aura23 / Shutterstock
来源:aura23/Shutterstock

North American Nickel is a small-cap stock focused on the nickel market. In fact, its market capitalization is just above $60 million. By comparison, Vale carries a market capitalization of $73 billion. 

北美镍业是一只专注于镍市场的小盘股。事实上,它的市值仅略高于6000万美元。相比之下,淡水河谷的市值为730亿美元。

WSCRF stock is also very inexpensive, with shares that trade below 50 cents each. It is fair to characterize it as a speculative play on a nickel — and the most speculative stock on this list.

WSCRF的股票也非常便宜,每股交易价格低于50美分。可以公平地将其描述为一枚镍币的投机性游戏--也是这份名单上投机性最强的股票。

The company has mineral exploration properties in Greenland and Ontario. It is also a founding shareholder in premium Nickel Resources, which has direct exposure to nickel in Southern Africa. 

该公司在格陵兰岛和安大略省拥有矿产勘探资产。它也是优质镍资源公司的创始股东之一,该公司在南部非洲直接投资于镍。

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In my mind, the best-case scenario for North American Nickel is that its proven nickel reserves on one of its properties become attractive to an acquirer. Its Greenland assets have nickel reserves on their grounds. The firm's Ontario assets are near proven assets as well. But until it begins to produce revenues from them, it remains a speculative buy at best. 

在我看来,对北美镍业来说,最好的情况是,其在其中一处资产上已探明的镍储量对收购方具有吸引力。该公司的格陵兰资产拥有镍储量。该公司在安大略省的资产也接近已探明的资产。但在它开始从中产生收入之前,它充其量仍是一种投机性买入。

Nickel Stocks: PolyMet Mining (PLM)

镍库存:Polymet矿业(PLM)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

The Talon Metals project in collaboration with Tesla has operations in Minnesota. PolyMet Mining is another project out of the same state, and its NorthMet mine contains 170 million pounds of nickel. That suggests PLM stock could become more attractive moving forward. 

与特斯拉合作的Talon Metals项目在明尼苏达州有业务。Polymet矿业是另一个来自同一州的项目,其NorthMet矿含有1.7亿磅镍。这表明,未来PLM股票可能会变得更具吸引力。

One reason to strongly consider PolyMet Mining is that it has the backing of another giant conglomerate on this list. Glencore is a majority owner of PolyMet Mining. That should give the latter easier access to resources than many other projects. 

强烈考虑PolyMet Mining的一个原因是,它得到了名单上另一家大型企业集团的支持。嘉能可是PolyMet Mining的多数股权所有者。这应该会使后者比许多其他项目更容易获得资源。

If PolyMet Mining suddenly becomes more appealing for any number of reasons, Glencore has an embedded interest in speeding its development along. That implies it could potentially rise quicker than less well-heeled operations on this list. 

如果PolyMet矿业突然因各种原因变得更具吸引力,嘉能可对加快其发展有着根深蒂固的兴趣。这意味着,在这份榜单上,它可能会比不那么富裕的公司上升得更快。

Back in late December, PolyMet Mining received good news in its ongoing permitting battle. The Minnesota Pollution Control Agency gave it support in its pursuit of a key permit to begin operations. PolyMet Mining now has four lawsuits remaining to overcome in 2022. It has overcome 18 already and maintains that it will be vindicated, as its operations are backed by science. 

早在12月下旬,PolyMet Mining在正在进行的许可之战中收到了好消息。明尼苏达州污染控制机构在寻求开始运营的关键许可方面给予了支持。到2022年,Polymet矿业公司还有四起诉讼需要解决。它已经克服了18个问题,并坚称它将被证明是正确的,因为它的运营是有科学支持的。

If the company is correct in its assertion, its stock price should rise significantly in 2022.

如果该公司的断言是正确的,它的股价应该会在2022年大幅上涨。

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关于细价股和低成交量股票: 不会发布关于市值低于1亿美元或每天交易量低于10万股的公司的评论,只有极少数例外。这是因为这些“廉价股”经常是诈骗艺术家和市场操纵者的游乐场。如果我们确实发布了可能受我们的评论影响的低成交量股票的评论,我们要求 InvestorPlace.com该书的作者披露了这一事实,并警告读者其中的风险。

Read More: Penny Stocks — How to Profit Without Getting Scammed

阅读更多内容: 细价股-如何在不上当的情况下获利

On the date of publication, Alex Sirois did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

截至发稿之日,Alex Sirois并未(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文表达的观点是作者的观点,以InvestorPlace.com为准出版指南.

Alex Sirois is a freelance contributor to InvestorPlace whose personal stock investing style is focused on long-term, buy-and-hold, wealth-building stock picks. Having worked in several industries from e-commerce to translation to education and utilizing his MBA from George Washington University, he brings a diverse set of skills through which he filters his writing.

亚历克斯·西罗斯是InvestorPlace的自由撰稿人,他的个人股票投资风格专注于长期、买入并持有、积累财富的股票选择。 曾在从电子商务到翻译再到教育的多个行业工作过,并利用他在乔治华盛顿大学的工商管理硕士学位,他带来了一套多样化的技能,他通过这些技能来过滤他的写作。

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在Talon Metals的腾飞中,如果你没有达到预期,7只镍股要买入的帖子首先出现在InvestorPlace上。

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