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Investment Opportunity Breakdown: Electric Vehicle Charging Stocks

Investment Opportunity Breakdown: Electric Vehicle Charging Stocks

投资机会细分:电动汽车充电股
InvestorPlace ·  2021/12/21 15:22

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As electric vehicle (EV) adoption continues at a rapid pace, there is an unprecedented demand for charging infrastructure to support both consumer and commercial vehicles. Electric vehicle chargers provide charging to battery-operated vehicles and more specifically, to the electrical source used to charge the battery. As of 2019, the market for electric vehicle chargers was valued at $3.8 billion. It is expected to grow at a CAGR of 26.8% to $25.5 billion by 2027. All of this potential has thrust EV charging stocks into the spotlight as an alternative way to play the inevitable rise of vehicle electrification around the world.

随着电动汽车(EV)的持续快速采用,对充电基础设施的需求前所未有,以支持消费和商用车。电动汽车充电器为电池驱动的车辆提供充电,更具体地说,为用于为电池充电的电源提供充电。截至2019年,电动汽车充电器的市场是价值38亿美元。预计到2027年,这一数字将以26.8%的复合年增长率增长至255亿美元。所有这些潜力都将电动汽车充电股票推到了聚光灯下,作为一种替代方式,以发挥世界各地汽车电气化不可避免的崛起。

With that in mind, here's an overview of the investment opportunity in electric vehicle infrastructure stocks. 

考虑到这一点,以下是电动汽车基础设施类股的投资机会概述。

EV Charging Stocks: Key Market Drivers

电动汽车充电股:关键的市场驱动力

The largest driver for electric vehicle charging infrastructure is demand for electric vehicles (see our EV stocks overview). Government initiatives to limit environmental pollution, coupled with consumers' interest in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, have led to increased adoption of electric vehicles. 

电动汽车充电基础设施的最大驱动因素是对电动汽车的需求(参见我们的电动汽车库存概述)。政府限制环境污染的举措,加上消费者对减少温室气体排放的兴趣,导致越来越多的人采用电动汽车。

Fleet electrification is another significant demand driver for EV charging infrastructure. In fact, medium and heavy duty class vehicles are expected to electrify faster than passenger vehicles owing to a much lower per-mile cost, or TCO (Total Cost of Ownership). These favorable economics are the motivation behind the aggressive electrification plans at Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Fedex (NYSE:FDX) and UPS (NYSE:UPS). 

车队电气化是电动汽车充电基础设施的另一个重要需求驱动因素。事实上,由于每英里成本或总拥有成本(TCO)低得多,预计中型和重型汽车的电气化速度将快于乘用车。这些有利的经济条件是积极的电气化计划背后的动机亚马逊(纳斯达克:amzn),联邦快递(纽约证券交易所:FDX)和UPS(纽约证券交易所代码:UPS)。

In the U.S, a key industry catalyst was the signing of the U.S. Infrastructure Bill. President Joe Biden has allocated $7.5 billion to the development of 500,000 public electric vehicle charging stations. The U.S. Department of Energy estimates that it will need to install 11,407 public EV charging stations each quarter in order to achieve the government's target by 2030. The investment is expected to create more manufacturing jobs in the U.S. over the next few years. It is also expected to accelerate EV clean energy projects and allow the U.S. to capture a larger portion of the global EV market.

在美国,一个关键的行业催化剂是美国基础设施法案的签署。P居民乔·拜登已拨出75亿美元用于开发50万个公共电动汽车充电站。美国能源部估计数每季度需要安装11,407个公共电动汽车充电站,才能在2030年前实现政府的目标。这项投资预计将在未来几年为美国创造更多的制造业就业机会。预计它还将加速电动汽车的发展清洁能源项目,并使美国能够在全球电动汽车市场占据更大份额。

Finally, another catalyst fueling the growth of EV charging stocks is government tax incentives. Rebates and incentives are credited to new EV buyers under the second component of the bipartisan infrastructure law known as the "Build Back Better Framework." Following Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) lead, other EV manufacturers like General Motors (NYSE:GM), Ford (NYSE:F) and Nio (NYSE:NIO) are developing and installing public charging stations nationwide.

最后,推动电动汽车充电库存增长的另一个催化剂是政府的税收优惠。根据两党基础设施法的第二个组成部分,回扣和激励措施将计入新的电动汽车购买者手中,该法律被称为《重建更好的框架》.“如下特斯拉的(纳斯达克:特斯拉)铅,其他电动汽车制造商,如通用汽车(纽约证券交易所:通用汽车(GM)、福特(NYSE:F))和蔚来(纽约证券交易所:蔚来)正在全国范围内开发和安装公共充电站。

Evaluating the EV Charging Landscape 

评估电动汽车充电前景

Because most battery-electric cars have a limited driving range (between 300 and 400 miles), the availability and efficiency of charging stations is critical for further adoption.

因为大多数电池电动汽车的行驶里程有限(在300至400英里之间),充电站的可用性和效率对进一步采用至关重要。

There are three different levels of charging: Level 1, 2 and 3. Level 1 represents 120-volt charging using ubiquitous household outlets. Level 1, known as trickle charging, provides an EV or plug-in hybrid electric vehicle 3-5 miles of range per hour. These chargers require, on average, about 30 hours to replenish 150 miles of range, depending on the vehicle's efficiency. As cars.com notes, "a less efficient vehicle gets less range from the same amount of electricity as a more efficient one." Because of these, most EV makers include a small Level 1 charger with their plug-in vehicles. A grounded household plug terminates at a connector that plugs into the car on the other end.

有三个不同的收费级别:第一级、第二级和第三级。1级代表使用无处不在的家庭插座进行120伏充电。Level 1被称为涓流充电,提供电动汽车或插电式混合动力汽车,每小时行驶3-5英里。这些充电器平均需要大约30小时才能为150英里的续航里程充电,这取决于车辆的能效。ASCars.com他指出:“一辆效率较低的汽车与一辆效率较高的汽车相比,从相同的电量获得的里程更少。”正因为如此,大多数电动汽车制造商在他们的插电式汽车中都配备了一个小型一级充电器。一个接地的家用插头端接在另一端插入汽车的连接器上。

Level 2 charging is the fastest means of charging at home. Level 2 operates at 240 volts, which is the same voltage many household appliances use. According to cars.com, "[T]he amount of current supported by Level 2 extends from 12 to 80 amps." As a result, Level 2 extends a vehicle's charging range. But, again, the amount depends on the efficiency of the battery. 

2级充电是家里最快的充电方式。Level 2的工作电压为240伏,与许多家用电器使用的电压相同。根据cars.com的说法,“2级支持的电流从12安培扩展到80安培。”因此,Level 2扩大了车辆的充电范围。但是,同样,数量取决于电池的效率。

Level 3 Charging

3级收费

Level 3 charging, also called DC fast charging, is the gold standard in EV charging. It is available at specific charging stations.

Level 3充电,又称直流快速充电,是电动汽车充电的黄金标准。它可以在特定的充电站使用。

Whereas level 1 and 2 chargers must rely on a process called rectification where they convert from alternating current (AC) to DC before they can charge the battery, Level 3 chargers start with higher AC voltage than level 1 and 2 chargers. DC fast chargers rectify it to high-voltage DC outside the car using dedicated equipment separate from the charging point hook up, and then feed that DC voltage directly to the car's battery.

而1级和2级充电器必须依赖一种称为整流的过程,在这种过程中,它们3级充电器在充电前从交流电转换为直流电,3级充电器开始时的交流电压高于1级和2级充电器。直流快速充电器将其整流为高压直流外面汽车使用专用设备从充电点分离出来,然后将直流电压直接馈送到汽车的电池中。

The largest EV charging network is operated by the world's largest EV manufacturer, Tesla. Tesla began as a proprietary charging network; however, in November 2021, the company started opening its Supercharger network to other EV manufacturers. Most competing charging operators rely on roaming agreements with each other and carmakers to ensure network continuity. 

最大的电动汽车充电网络由世界最大的电动汽车制造商特斯拉运营。特斯拉一开始是一个专有的充电网络;然而,我2021年11月,该公司开始开放其超级充电器网络给其他电动汽车制造商。大多数相互竞争的充电运营商依赖彼此和汽车制造商之间的漫游协议来确保网络的连续性。

Key Players in EV Infrastructure

中的主要参与者电动汽车基础设施

A large number of EV charging infrastructure companies have recently gone public through business combinations involving SPACs (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies). 

大量电动汽车充电基础设施公司最近通过涉及SPAC(特殊目的收购公司)的业务合并上市。

The space consists of three main subcategories. The largest category, which includes companies such as Blink Charging (NASDAQ:BLNK), Volta (NYSE:VLTA) and EVGo (NASDAQ:EVGO) build and operate their own charging networks. 

这个空间由三个主要的子类别组成。最大的类别,包括诸如闪烁充电 (纳斯达克:BLNK), 电压(纽约证券交易所代码:VLTA)和EVGo(纳斯达克:EVGo)建立和运营自己的充电网络。

Others, like Beam Global (NASDAQ:BEEM) and Chargepoint (NYSE:CHPT), provide stations and software to third-party operators. Also in this category is EVBox, which is expected to complete its merger with TPG Pace Beneficial Finance (NYSE:TPGY) by Q1 2022. 

其他人,比如波束全局(纳斯达克:Beem)充电点(纽约证券交易所:CHPT), 向第三方运营商提供站点和软件。同样属于这一类别的还有预计将完成与EVBox的合并TPG Pace Benefit Finance (纽约证券交易所:TPGY)到2022年第一季度。

Finally, companies such as Wallbox NV (NYSE:WBX), which is part-owned by Spanish energy company Iberdrola SA (OTCMKTS:IBDRY), primarily makes chargers for homes and businesses.

最后,像这样的公司内华达州Wallbox(纽约证券交易所:WBX),该公司由西班牙能源公司部分拥有Iberdrola SA(OTCMKTS:IBDRY),主要生产家庭和企业的充电器。

Industry Challenges, Competition and Consolidation 

行业挑战、竞争与整合

Despite being a relatively nascent market, the EV charging infrastructure market is already very crowded. Major utilities and oil companies are already getting into this space. At the same time, most pure-play EV charging companies have generated very little in the way of predictable revenue. They're also generating gross margins below 30% and are largely unprofitable. Still, EV charging stocks commanded premium valuations throughout 2021.

尽管这是一个相对较新的市场,电动汽车充电基础设施市场已经非常拥挤。大型公用事业公司和石油公司已经进入了这一领域。与此同时,大多数纯电动汽车充电公司在可预测收入方面产生的收入很少。它们的毛利率也低于30%,而且基本上没有盈利。尽管如此,电动汽车充电股票在整个2021年都拥有溢价估值。

The sector has already undergone heavy consolidation. Large diversified energy and utility companies have already acquired dozens of infrastructure installers and software providers in recent years.

该行业已经经历了大规模的整合。近年来,多元化的大型能源和公用事业公司已经收购了数十家基础设施安装商和软件提供商。

These include gas companies like Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RSD.A, NYSE:RSD.B) and BP (NYSE:BP) and utility players like Enel (OTCMKTS:ENLAY) and Electricite de France SA — each of which have acquired charging station companies and related solutions providers. As a result, startups in the sector are now under growing pressure to carve out a dominant market position. 

这些公司包括天然气公司,如荷兰皇家壳牌(纽约证券交易所:RSD.A,NYSE:RSD.B)BP(纽约证券交易所代码:BP)和公用事业公司,如意大利国家电力公司(OTCMKTS:ENLAY)和法国电力公司 Sa--每一项已经收购了充电站公司和相关解决方案提供商。因此,该行业的初创企业现在面临着越来越大的压力,要求它们开拓主导市场地位。

Most of the largest players in the EV charging infrastructure sector focus on serving large company fleets. Charging network suppliers typically install high-speed chargers along highways, as well as "destination charging" at shopping malls, restaurants and other public sites. This strategy has fueled a land grab for the best locations. Accordingly, one of the main advantages of the large oil companies and utilities and fuel retailers is their vast customer base and roadside real estate. Power companies getting into this space also point to their expertise in managing the grid.

电动汽车充电基础设施领域的大多数最大参与者都专注于为大型公司车队提供服务。充电网络供应商通常在高速公路沿线安装高速充电器,并在商场、餐馆和其他公共场所安装“目的地充电”。这一战略助长了对最佳地点的土地争夺。因此,大型石油公司、公用事业公司和燃料零售商的主要优势之一是其庞大的客户基础和路边房地产。进入这一领域的电力公司也指出了他们在电网管理方面的专业知识。

EV charging is a capital-intensive business. Companies in this space are mostly not expected to break even on an adjusted EBITDA basis in 2023 and 2024 timeframe. Many of the independent entrants have tapped public markets to raise money and bolster balance sheets. Yet, many observers question both the capitalization and the long-term profitability of the EV charging infrastructure business.

电动汽车充电是一项资本密集型业务。C这一领域的公司大多不是预计2023年和2024年在调整后的EBITDA基础上实现盈亏平衡。许多独立进入者都利用公开市场筹集资金,增强资产负债表。然而,许多观察人士对电动汽车充电基础设施业务的资本和长期盈利能力都提出了质疑。

At the same time, large utility players can recoup grid-related investments from their ratepayers. Oil companies also generate healthy profit margins on their retail stations. These represent considerable economies of scale and a competitive threat to pure-play charging infrastructure suppliers. 

与此同时,大型公用事业公司可以从差饷缴纳人那里收回与电网相关的投资。石油公司的零售站也产生了可观的利润率。这些都代表着相当大的规模经济,并对纯粹的充电基础设施供应商构成竞争威胁。

The Bottom Line on Investing in EV Infrastructure

投资的底线是什么电动汽车基础设施

Interest in more affordable electric vehicles (EVs) and alternative energy sources is clearly rising and gaining support from governments globally. Strong secular drivers, coupled with accelerating manufacture of consumer EVs, should allow EV charging suppliers to sustain double digit-percentage growth over the next decade. Given the capital-intensive nature of the business, coupled with an uncertain long-term earnings profile, most observers expect continued consolidation in the coming 12-18 months.  

人们对更实惠的电动汽车(EVS)和替代能源的兴趣显然正在上升,并获得了全球各国政府的支持。强劲的长期驱动因素,加上消费类电动汽车制造的加速,应该会使电动汽车充电供应商在未来10年保持两位数的百分比增长。鉴于该业务的资本密集型性质,加上长期盈利状况不确定,大多数观察人士预计,未来12至18个月将继续整合。

On the date of publication, Joanna Makris did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.

截至发稿之日,Joanna Makris并未(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。

Joanna Makris is a Market Analyst at InvestorPlace.com. A strategic thinker and fundamental public equity investor, Joanna leverages over 20 years of experience on Wall Street covering various segments of the Technology, Media, and Telecom sectors at several global investment banks, including Mizuho Securities and Canaccord Genuity.

乔安娜·马克里斯是安邦保险的市场分析师InvestorPlace.com。作为一名战略思想家和基础公开股票投资者,Joanna在华尔街拥有20多年的经验,涵盖了几家全球投资银行的技术、媒体和电信部门,包括瑞穗证券和Canaccel Genuity。

Click here to follow her Behind the Wall series, where she provides the insider scoop on the hottest technologies and trends from today's business leaders, industry experts and money managers.

点击此处关注她在墙后的系列在那里,她提供了来自当今商业领袖、行业专家和基金经理的最热门技术和趋势的内部独家新闻。

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