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3 of the best Lithium stocks for 2022 to buy now

3 of the best Lithium stocks for 2022 to buy now

2022年最值得现在购买的锂库存中的3个
InvestorPlace ·  2021/12/21 10:02  · 观点

With accelerated adoption of electric vehicles, lithium demand has surged. There are various estimates that indicate multi-fold increase in lithium demand over the next decade. That will only go to help lithium stocks.

随着电动汽车的加速采用,锂的需求激增。有各种估计表明,未来十年锂需求将增长数倍。这只会帮助锂库存。

Some of the best lithium stocks have already witnessed a sharp rally in 2020 and 2021. It's likely that the rally will sustain in 2022 and demand continues to grow.

一些最好的锂库存已经在2020年和2021年出现了大幅上涨。这股涨势可能会持续到2022年,需求也会继续增长。

Lithium carbonate demand in 2020 was 305,000 tons. For 2021, it's expected that demand will increase to 452,000 tons. Additionally, demand is expected to increase by 14-fold to 1.8 million tons by 2030.

2020年碳酸锂需求量为30.5万吨。2021年,预计需求将增加到45.2万吨。此外,到2030年,需求预计将增加14倍,达到180万吨。

Another August 2021 report suggests that global lithium demand is "accelerating at a faster clip than previously thought." This is important from the perspective of lithium price. With the demand-supply scenario likely to remain tight, lithium producers are positioned for attractive price realization in the coming years.

2021年8月的另一份报告显示,全球锂需求正在“以比之前想象的更快的速度加速。”从锂价格的角度来看,这一点很重要。由于供需形势可能依然紧张,锂生产商有望在未来几年实现诱人的价格。

Here are three of the best lithium stocks that are positioned for a rally in 2022:

以下是为2022年涨势做好准备的三大锂股:

Lithium Stocks to Buy: Lithium Americas (LAC)

要购买的锂库存:锂美洲(LAC)

LAC stock already surged by nearly 200% in the last 12 months. However, considering the long-term potential, I believe that accumulation can be considered on dips.

在过去的12个月里,Lac的库存已经飙升了近200%。然而,考虑到长期潜力,我认为可以考虑逢低积累。

In terms of the asset base, Thacker Pass has an annual production capacity of 60,000 tons of lithium carbonate and a mine life of 46 years. Further, the asset is likely to deliver an average annual EBITDA of $520 million. At a discount rate of 8%, the project has an after-tax net present value of $2.6 billion.

在资产基础方面,Thacker Pass的年产能为6万吨碳酸锂,矿山寿命为46年。此外,该资产可能实现平均每年5.2亿美元的EBITDA。以8%的贴现率计算,该项目的税后净现值为26亿美元。

Additionally, the Cauchari-Olaroz project has a production capacity of 40,000 tons per annum. The project life is 40 years with an annual EBITDA potential of $308 million.

此外,高加里-奥拉洛兹项目的年产能为4万吨。该项目寿命为40年,年EBITDA潜力为3.08亿美元。

Once these projects are operational, Lithium Americas will have an annual EBITDA potential of $800 million. It can potentially be higher depending on the lithium price. Clearly, the company still looks attractive at a market capitalization of $3.7 billion.

一旦这些项目投入运营,锂美洲公司每年的EBITDA潜力将达到8亿美元。根据锂的价格,它可能会更高。显然,该公司37亿美元的市值看起来仍然很有吸引力。

From a financial perspective, the company reported cash and equivalents of $480 million. Recently, the company also announced a $225 million offering of convertible notes. There is ample liquidity buffer for near-term project development.

从财务角度来看,该公司报告的现金及现金等价物为4.8亿美元。最近,该公司还宣布发行2.25亿美元的可转换票据。近期项目发展有充足的流动性缓冲。

Overall, LAC stock is worth holding for the long term. With positive industry tailwinds coupled with high quality assets, the stock is a value creator.

总体而言,LAC股票值得长期持有。积极的行业顺风加上优质资产,该股是价值创造者。

Albemarle Corporation (ALB)

Albemarle Corporation(ALB)

ALB stock is also among the best lithium stocks to consider for the medium to long term. The stock has corrected from recent highs of $291 to current levels of $218. I believe that gradual accumulation can be considered.

Alb库存也是中长期考虑的最佳锂库存之一。该股已从近期高点291美元回调至目前的218美元水平。我认为可以考虑逐步积累。

For Q3 2021, the company reported lithium sales of $354 million, which was higher by 33% on a year-on-year basis. For the same period, the segment adjusted EBITDA was $123 million. This would imply an annualized adjusted EBITDA of $492 million.

2021年第三季度,该公司报告锂销售额为3.54亿美元,同比增长33%。同期,该部门调整后的EBITDA为1.23亿美元。这将意味着年化调整后的EBITDA为4.92亿美元。

Overall, the lithium, bromine and catalyst business segments reported adjusted EBITDA of $863 million for the third quarter. The key point to note is that Albemarle expects adjusted EBITDA to increase three-fold by 2026. A large part of this growth is likely to come from lithium expansion.

总体而言,锂、溴和催化剂业务部门报告第三季度调整后的EBITDA为8.63亿美元。需要注意的关键一点是,Albemarle预计,到2026年,调整后的EBITDA将增加三倍。这一增长很大一部分可能来自锂的扩张。

Therefore, the company has multi-year growth visibility. Importantly, with a credit rating of BBB (stable outlook) from S&P, the company is unlikely to have any funding headwinds.

因此,该公司具有多年增长的可见性。重要的是,由于标普的信用评级为BBB(展望稳定),该公司不太可能遇到任何融资逆风。

ALB stock also has an annualized dividend of $1.56. Considering the growth potential in the next five years, the stock is also a quality dividend growth name to consider.

Alb股票的年化股息也为1.56美元。考虑到未来五年的增长潜力,该股也是一个值得考虑的优质红利增长名称。

Lithium Stocks to Buy: Livent Corporation (LTHM)

需要购买的锂股:利文特公司(Lient Corporation)

LTHM stock has witnessed positive momentum in the recent past. The stock has trended higher by 27% in the last six months. It seems likely that the rally will continue.

LTHM股票在最近的过去出现了积极的势头。在过去的六个月里,该股的涨幅达到了27%。看起来这波涨势很可能会持续下去。

Livent is a leading vertically integrated pure-play producer of low-cost lithium. The company is a seller to electric vehicle OEMs and battery manufacturers globally.

利文特是一家领先的垂直整合的低成本锂纯品生产商。该公司是全球电动汽车OEM和电池制造商的销售商。

For the current year, the company expects revenue of $400 million (mid-range) and an adjusted EBITDA of $67 million.

对于本年度,该公司预计收入为4亿美元(中档),调整后的EBITDA为6700万美元。

The key point to note is that Livent has a current production capacity of 20,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate. The company expects to increase capacity to 40,000 metric tons by Q4 2023.

需要注意的是,利文特目前的碳酸锂生产能力为2万吨。该公司预计到2023年第四季度将产能增加到4万吨。

Additionally, with the expansion in Argentina, capacity is likely to ramp up to 60,000 metric tons beyond 2023. Therefore, there is clear revenue and EBITDA growth visibility over the next few years. This makes LTHM stock attractive for the long term.

此外,随着阿根廷的扩张,2023年以后的产能可能会增加到6万吨。因此,未来几年有明显的收入和EBITDA增长可见性。这使得LTHM股票具有长期吸引力。

From a financial perspective, Livent reported cash and equivalents of $195.3 million as of September.

从财务角度来看,利文特报告截至9月份的现金及现金等价物为1.953亿美元。

The cash buffer will support near-term expansion plans. Additionally, the company has guided for operating cash flow of $55 million for 2021. As cash flows accelerate, internal funding will support further organic and inorganic growth. Overall, LTHM stock is among the best lithium stocks to consider for 2022 and beyond with big expansion plans being the catalyst for sustained upside.

现金缓冲将支持近期扩张计划。此外,该公司还指导2021年的运营现金流为5500万美元。随着现金流的加速,内部资金将支持进一步的有机和无机增长。总体而言,LTHM库存是2022年及以后值得考虑的最佳锂库存之一,大规模扩张计划是持续上行的催化剂。

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