share_log

Here’s Some Advice to Invest in America’s Great Reopening: Don’t!

Here’s Some Advice to Invest in America’s Great Reopening: Don’t!

这里有一些建议,可以投资于美国的大开张:不要这样做!
InvestorPlace ·  2021/11/07 22:26

InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips

InvestorPlace-股市新闻、股票咨询和交易提示

Trading on Wall Street last week was dominated by one theme: The reopening.

华尔街上周的交易被一个主题所主导:重新开放.

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

At a rate faster than I've seen all year long, investors ditched pandemic winners like at-home fitness stocks, digital advertising stocks, and e-commerce stocks this past week, and piled into airline, casino, and travel stocks amid a flurry of news that confirms that the U.S. economic reopening is in full swing right now.

过去一周,投资者抛售了家庭健身类股、数字广告类股和电商类股等大流行病赢家,纷纷涌入航空、赌场和旅游类股,这一速度比我一整年来看到的都要快,因为一系列消息证实,美国经济重启目前正如火如荼地进行。

For starters, the October jobs report came in well ahead of expectations on Friday morning, with particular labor strength in the portions of the economy hit hardest by the pandemic: Manufacturing, travel, and leisure.

对于初学者来说,10月份就业报告周五上午的数据远远超出预期,特别是在受疫情影响最严重的经济领域:制造业、旅游业和休闲业。

That means the companies hit hardest by the pandemic are on hiring binges right now – something they would only be doing if business was great.

这意味着受疫情影响最严重的公司现在正在大肆招聘-只有在生意好的情况下,他们才会这么做。

On top of that, every "reopening" play reported super strong earnings this week:

最重要的是,每一部《重启》剧目本周都报告了超强的收益:

Uber (NYSE:UBER) said that ridership trends are rapidly improving. While Yelp (NYSE:YELP) said folks are coming back to restaurants in droves. GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO) said everyone is buying cameras to film their vacations. Live Nation (NYSE:LYV) said concerts are making a big comeback. And Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) sounded a confident tone on travel trends over the next few months.

优步(Uber)纽约证券交易所代码:优步)说,乘客数量趋势正在迅速改善。而当叶洛普纽约证券交易所代码:Yelp)说人们成群结队地回到餐馆。GoPro(纳斯达克:GPRO)说每个人都在买相机来拍摄他们的假期。活着 民族纽约证券交易所代码:LYV)说演唱会正在大举卷土重来。和爱彼迎(纳斯达克:ABNB)听起来对未来几个月的旅游趋势充满信心。

On the other side of the ball, pandemic favorite Peloton (NASDAQ:PTON) meaningfully slashed its full-year revenue guidance on the heels of dramatically slowing demand for its at-home fitness bikes, while fellow pandemic favorite Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) said usage of its digital learning platform is quickly falling.

在球的另一边,大流行的宠儿佩洛顿(纳斯达克:PTON)在其家用健身自行车需求大幅放缓后,大幅削减了全年收入指引,而另一位大流行宠儿鸡蛋纽约证券交易所代码:CHGG)表示,其数字学习平台的使用率正在迅速下降。

It is becoming pretty clear on Wall Street that the U.S. economy is in full "reopening mode." With Covid-19 risks retreating, kids returning to (and staying in) school, and a hopefully "normal" holiday season on the horizon, consumers are reverting to their pre-pandemic ways.

华尔街越来越清楚地看到,美国经济正处于完全的“重新开放模式”。随着新冠肺炎面临撤退的风险,孩子们重返校园(并留在学校),一个充满希望的“正常”假期季节即将到来,消费者正在回归大流行前的方式。

So… what's the best way to play this great reopening of the American economy?

所以…美国经济重启的最好方式是什么?

Here's a response you weren't expecting: Don't.

这是你意想不到的回答:.

Yep. You heard that right. Don't play the reopening. Fade the reopening.

是啊。你没听错。不要玩重新开张的游戏。淡化重新开放的影响。

Because, what you have to understand is that the reopening isn't a trend – it's a moment in time.

因为,你要明白的是,重新开放并不是一种趋势-这是一个及时的时刻.

Disruptive technology platforms like Peloton, Chegg, and others didn't just change our lives during Covid-19. They were changing our lives for years before the pandemic ever struck, because at their core, these technology platforms make our lives better.

颠覆性的技术平台,如佩洛顿、切格和其他平台,在新冠肺炎期间并没有仅仅改变我们的生活。在大流行来袭之前的几年里,它们一直在改变我们的生活,因为它们的核心是,这些技术平台让我们的生活变得更好。

Peloton makes working out easier, more accessible, faster, more convenient, and cheaper than ever before.

佩洛顿使锻炼变得比以往任何时候都更容易、更容易、更快、更方便、更便宜。

Chegg makes learning more flexible, more on-demand, more affordable, more personalized, and easier than ever before.

Chegg使学习变得比以往任何时候都更灵活、更按需、更实惠、更个性化和更容易。

Get the point? We don't use disruptive technology platforms because we have to – we use them because we choose to, because they make our lives better.

明白了吗?我们不使用颠覆性技术平台,因为我们必须-我们使用它们是因为我们选择,因为他们让我们的生活更美好。

But disruptive technologies require consumer adoption, and humans don't like change, so the adoption of disruptive technologies is a gradual progress. It's been happening at a very steady pace ever since the advent of the computer in the 1980s.

但颠覆性技术需要消费者采用,而人类不喜欢改变,所以采用颠覆性技术是一个循序渐进的过程。自从20世纪80年代计算机问世以来,它一直在以非常稳定的速度发生。

What Covid-19 did was hit the "fast-forward" button on that progress, because we had to hit the fast-forward button in order to keep the world turning.

新冠肺炎所做的就是按下了进步的“快进”键,因为我们必须按下快进键才能让世界继续运转。

But it was too much, too soon. Humans can't take that much change at once. So, as the pandemic has faded, humans have hit the "rewind" button on technological progress. They're going back to a point where they're more comfortable, so to speak.

但它确实是太多, 太快了。人类不可能一下子接受那么多变化。因此,随着疫情的消退,人类按下了技术进步的“倒带”按钮。可以说,他们会回到更舒适的状态。

This won't last. Soon enough, humans will get back to a point of being comfy – a healthy mix of real-world interactions and digital technologies, that represents a more digitally-connected society than we saw in 2019, but less so than we saw in 2020.

这不会持续很久的。很快,人类将回到舒适的地步-现实世界互动和数字技术的健康结合,代表着一个比我们在2019年看到的更数字化的社会,但比我们在2020年看到的要少。

And, once we hit that "comfy" point, society is going to hit the "play" button on technological disruption again.

而且,一旦我们达到了那个“舒适”点,社会将再次按下技术颠覆的“播放”按钮。

So don't chase this reopening. It's not a trend. It's a moment in time. It will pass. When it does, the REAL trend will resume – the trend of technological disruption – a trend that has consistently transformed our world over the past 40 years… and which, along the way, has consistently turned steadfast and focused investors into millionaires.

所以不要追逐这次重新开张。这不是一种趋势。这是一个及时的时刻。一切都会过去的。当它发生时,真正的趋势将会恢复-技术颠覆的趋势-这一趋势在过去40年里一直改变着我们的世界。…在此过程中,它一直将坚定而专注的投资者转变为百万富翁。

Sometimes, you have to see the forest for the trees.

有时候,你只见树木不见森林。

Right now, everyone is focused on the "reopening" tree – but we're focused on the forest of technological disruption that is on the horizon.

现在,每个人都在关注“重新打开”这棵树--但我们关注的是即将出现的技术颠覆之林。

Paying attention to that forest could be the key to you scoring millions in the stock market.

关注这片森林可能是你在股票市场赚到数百万美元的关键。

Sound like something you want to do? If so, we'll show you how to plug into the future.

听起来像是你想做的事吗?如果是这样的话,我们将向您展示如何接入未来。

On the date of publication, Luke Lango did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.

在本文发表之日,卢克·兰戈没有(直接或间接)持有本文提到的证券的任何头寸。

The post Here's Some Advice to Invest in America's Great Reopening: Don't! appeared first on InvestorPlace.

这里的帖子给你一些投资美国大开张的建议:不要这样做!最先出现在InvestorPlace上。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发