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Don’t Count on Another Meme Wave for Camber Energy Stock

Don’t Count on Another Meme Wave for Camber Energy Stock

不要指望曲面能源股票会出现另一波Meme浪潮
InvestorPlace ·  2021/10/28 06:00

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It goes without saying that the appeal of Camber Energy (NYSEAMERICAN:CEI) stock has nothing to do with its fundamentals. As I discussed earlier this month, there's much to back up the bear case made by vocal short-seller Kerrisdale Capital. Since that article published, CEI stock has lost a further 20.3%.

不用说,弧形能源(NYSEAMERICAN:CEI)股票与其基本面无关。正如我本月早些时候所讨论的那样,有很多理由支持直言不讳的卖空者的看跌观点Kerrisdale Capital。自那篇文章发表以来,CEI的股票进一步下跌了20.3%。

Source: FreezeFrames / Shutterstock.com

来源:FreezeFrames/Shutterstock.com

Putting it simply, this oil and gas company is your garden variety penny stock. Low quality assets, shareholder dilution and an attempt to ride the coattails of trends (in its case, clean energy) to drive up the stock? That's all here with Camber. So, if not for the strength of its underlying business, what's the appeal of it?

简而言之,这家石油天然气公司就是你的普通股票。低质量的资产,股东的稀释,以及试图利用趋势(在它的案例中,是清洁能源)来推高股价?这些都是和坎伯在一起的。那么,如果不是因为其基础业务的实力,它还有什么吸引力呢?

As a meme trade, pure and simple. Meme stock madness is what put it on the map among retail traders between late August and early October. During that time frame, shares soared nearly ten-fold, from around 50 cents a piece to a 52-week high of $4.85.

作为一种表情包交易,简单明了。8月底至10月初,迷因股票的疯狂让它在散户交易员中声名鹊起。在此期间,股价飙升了近十倍,从每股50美分左右飙升至4.85美元的52周高点。

But since the Oct. 5 Kerrisdale "short report," enthusiasm for it has cooled considerably, with CEI falling 42.4% to below $1 per share in the following two days.

但自10月5日Kerrisdale的“空头报告”发布以来,投资者对该股的热情明显降温,在接下来的两天里,中证股价指数下跌了42.4%,跌至每股1美元以下。

To be sure, it's attempted to make a rebound. So far though, it's only made it back to between $1 and $2 per share. Before, I said there was a chance the meme crowd could send it back "to the moon." Yet given the fading interest in it specifically, plus the fact we've haven't seen another widespread "meme wave" in months? Don't give up on your hopes.

可以肯定的是,它试图反弹。然而,到目前为止,它只回到了每股1美元到2美元之间。在此之前,我曾说过,表情包群体有可能把它送回“月球”。然而,考虑到人们对它的兴趣正在消退,再加上我们已经几个月没有看到另一波大范围的“表情包浪潮”了?不要放弃你的希望。

CEI Stock Had Its 'Flavor of The Month' Meme Moment

CEI股票迎来了“本月风味”Meme时刻

In the world of meme stocks, there are two categories. In column A, you have your more perennial meme stock names. Think GameStop (NYSE:GME) or AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC). Both were the initial stocks moved higher by this trend. Even as the overall "waves" have come and gone, both have managed to stay at inflated prices, levels that are not reflective of their respective underlying values.

在模因库的世界里,有两种类型。在A栏中,你有更多常年的表情包库存名称。想游戏停止(纽约证券交易所代码:GME)或AMC娱乐公司(纽约证券交易所代码:AMC)。这两只股票都是最初因这一趋势而走高的股票。尽管整体的“浪潮”来来去去,但这两家公司都设法保持在高涨的价格水平,这一水平并没有反映出它们各自的潜在价值。

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Column B has your more "flavor of the month" names. These are the ones that became meme stocks, but only briefly, sort of their "15 minutes of fame." For example, Clover Health (NASDAQ:CLOV) during its early June short-squeeze. Or, Support.com, right before it completed its reverse merger with crypto miner Greenidge Generation (NASDAQ:GREE).

B栏有你们更多的“当月风味”的名字。这些是成为表情包储藏库的人,但只是短暂的,有点像他们的“15分钟成名”。例如,三叶草健康(纳斯达克股票代码:CLOV)在6月初的空头挤压中。或,Support.com,就在它完成与密码矿商的反向合并之前格林尼治世代(纳斯达克股票代码:格力)。

In which column should one place CEI stock? Simple, column B. It had its brief moment as a hot meme stock. That time has now passed, and it's not coming back for an encore. Sure, this time, it could be different. After all, unlike Clover, this is a much smaller stock, and much less liquid.

CEI股票应该放在哪一栏?简单,B栏。作为一个热门的迷因,它有过短暂的一段时间。这段时间现在已经过去了,它不会回来再来一次了。当然,这一次可能会有所不同。毕竟,与三叶草不同的是,这只股票的规模要小得多,流动性也要差得多。

True, as a microcap stock, it could be easier for the meme crowd to bid it back up. Yet take a look at where it ranks in terms of conversation on Reddit's r/WallStreetBets subreddit. The Reddit set has moved on, and is buzzing about new "flavor of the month" names. Admittedly, something like another overall "meme stock wave" could be the ticket to send Camber on one last spike. Unfortunately, even that shows little sign of making a return.

诚然,作为一只微型股,表情包群体可能更容易将其抬高。然而,看看它在对话中的排名Reddit‘sR/WallStreetBets Subreddit。Reddit的布景已经过去了,现在正在热议新的“月度风味”名字。诚然,类似于另一波整体“表情包热潮”的事件可能会让坎伯迎来最后一波高潮。不幸的是,即使是这样,也没有显示出什么回报的迹象。

Don't Count on a Rising Tide to Save The Day

不要指望涨潮来拯救世界

If the situation with CEI stock was playing out earlier this year, I would say there was a chance of it going on a second strong run. For instance, many of the column B meme plays that went up (then down) in the winter's first meme stock wave, shot up again (albeit partially) during the second wave.

如果CEI股票的情况在今年早些时候上演,我会说它有可能出现第二轮强劲上涨。例如,在冬季的第一波表情包储备浪潮中,许多B栏表情包出现了上升(然后又下降),在第二波浪潮中又出现了飙升(尽管部分上升)。

Yet today? The odds of a third widespread wave lifting its boat seem slim. Individual stocks continue to benefit from the trend. Most recently, Digital World Acquisition Corp (NASDAQ:DWAC), up more than eight-fold on news of merging with the privately held company that owns former President Trump's planned social media platform.

但今天呢?第三次大范围的海浪抬高船只的可能性似乎微乎其微。个股继续受益于这一趋势。最近,数字世界收购公司纳斯达克(Nasdaq:DWAC)股价上涨8倍以上,原因是有消息称,该公司与拥有前总统特朗普计划中的社交媒体平台的私人持股公司合并。

However, meme stocks as a whole aren't moving up higher at the same time anymore. Traders are honing in on specific plays (today, DWAC; tomorrow, who knows), at the expense of the ones that have become old hat.

然而,表情包库存作为一个整体不再同时走高。交易员们正在磨练特定的游戏(今天,DWAC;明天,谁知道呢),而不是那些已经成为老生常谈的游戏。

Yes, you may think, "what about its squeeze potential?" After all, the short side seems crowded here, with nearly a quarter of outstanding float sold short. But unless the meme crowd hops back in, a squeeze back to $4 or $5 per share isn't going to happen. Instead, as those holding it just on the squeeze appeal, grow tired of waiting, they'll cash out, sending it on its way back toward prior price levels.

是的,你可能会想,“它的挤压潜力如何?”毕竟,这里的空方似乎很拥挤,近四分之一的未偿还浮存金被卖空。但是,除非迷因人群重新加入,否则股价不会回落到每股4美元或5美元。取而代之的是,当那些仅仅出于挤压呼吁而持有它的人厌倦了等待时,他们就会套现,让它回到之前的价格水平。

What's More Likely, 50 Cents or 5 Bucks

更有可能的是,50美分还是5雄鹿

CEI stock may not head back to 50 cents a share, but $5 isn't likely, either.

CEI的股票可能不会回落到每股50美分,但5美元也不太可能。

Despite my bearishness on it, I will concede one thing. Camber Energy may at least be able to hold onto a portion of its meme-fueled gains. Many other column B penny meme stocks, like Naked Brand (NASDAQ:NAKD), have pulled this off.

尽管我对此持悲观态度,但我会承认一件事。坎伯能源(Camber Energy)可能至少能够保住一部分由表情包推动的收益。其他许多B专栏的迷因股票,比如裸露品牌(纳斯达克股票代码:NAKD),已经做到了这一点。

Yet while residual meme stock status could keep it between $1 and $2 per share, with little signaling one last move toward $5 per share is in the cards? There's little reason to roll the dice with CEI stock.

然而,尽管剩余的表情包股票地位可能会使其保持在每股1美元至2美元之间,但几乎没有迹象表明,最后一次向每股5美元迈进的可能性是存在的?几乎没有理由用CEI股票来掷骰子。

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On the date of publication, Thomas Niel did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,托马斯·尼尔没有(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com发布指南的约束。

Thomas Niel, a contributor for InvestorPlace.com, has been writing single-stock analysis for web-based publications since 2016.

托马斯·尼尔(Thomas Niel),InvestorPlace.com,自2016年以来一直在为基于网络的出版物撰写单一股票分析。

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