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Interest-rate hike expectations still elevated after U.K. inflation unexpectedly slows
Interest-rate hike expectations still elevated after U.K. inflation unexpectedly slows
By Steve Goldstein
This article misstated the yield levels on the 2-year gilt.
Interest-rate expectations took only a minor hit on Wednesday after a softer-than-forecast reading on inflation.
Consumer prices rose 3.1% year-over-year in September, a tick below both expectations and the August reading, the Office for National Statistics reported. The core inflation reading also slowed, to 2.9% from 3.1%.
According to the CME Bank of England watch tool, the probability of a rate hike in November cooled to 32% from 59%, but expectations the central bank will move rates higher by December were still north of 70%.
The yield on the 2-year gilt eased to 0.69% from 0.73%. The pound slipped to $1.3760 from $1.3792.
"Amid broad-based price increases across major components of the inflation basket, the dip in the September annual rate is partly due the base effect of the rise in hotels and restaurant prices a year earlier after August 2020's Eat Out to Help Out Scheme ended," said Kallum Pickering, senior economist at Berenberg.
Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist at Lloyds Banking Group, was one of several who still expects prices to accelerate. "The increase in the energy price cap will pull inflation higher in October, with a further significant rise likely next April as a result of soaring wholesale gas prices. That means that inflation seems set to remain around 4% into the second quarter of next year. It will present the [Bank of England monetary policy committee] with a difficult policy trade-off between supporting the economy and tackling inflation," he said.
The FTSE 100 wasn't moving much on Wednesday, with metals producers including Rio Tinto falling.
Travel stocks such as International Airlines Group and Tui lost ground on worries the U.K. may have to re-impose restrictions as COVID-19 infections rise.
Energy providers SSE and Centrica advanced amid the strength in wholesale power prices.
-Steve Goldstein
By Steve Goldstein
史蒂夫·戈德斯坦(Steve Goldstein)著
This article misstated the yield levels on the 2-year gilt.
这篇文章错误地陈述了2年期英国国债的收益率水平。
Interest-rate expectations took only a minor hit on Wednesday after a softer-than-forecast reading on inflation.
周三,在通胀读数低于预期后,利率预期仅受到轻微打击。
Consumer prices rose 3.1% year-over-year in September, a tick below both expectations and the August reading, the Office for National Statistics reported. The core inflation reading also slowed, to 2.9% from 3.1%.
英国国家统计局(Office For National Statistics)报告称,9月份消费者价格同比上涨3.1%,低于预期和8月份的读数。核心通胀读数也有所放缓,从3.1%降至2.9%。
According to the CME Bank of England watch tool, the probability of a rate hike in November cooled to 32% from 59%, but expectations the central bank will move rates higher by December were still north of 70%.
根据芝加哥商品交易所(CME)英国央行(CME Bank Of England)的观察工具,11月加息的可能性从59%降至32%,但对央行在12月之前上调利率的预期仍高于70%。
The yield on the 2-year gilt eased to 0.69% from 0.73%. The pound slipped to $1.3760 from $1.3792.
两年期英国国债收益率从0.73%回落至0.69%。英镑兑美元汇率从1英镑兑1.3760美元下滑至1英镑兑1.3792美元。
"Amid broad-based price increases across major components of the inflation basket, the dip in the September annual rate is partly due the base effect of the rise in hotels and restaurant prices a year earlier after August 2020's Eat Out to Help Out Scheme ended," said Kallum Pickering, senior economist at Berenberg.
贝伦伯格(Berenberg)高级经济学家卡勒姆·皮克林(Kallum Pickering)表示:“在通胀篮子主要组成部分普遍上涨的情况下,9月份年率下降的部分原因是,在2020年8月外出就餐帮助计划结束后,酒店和餐厅价格上涨的基数效应在一年前就已经结束,”贝伦伯格(Berenberg)高级经济学家卡勒姆·皮克林(Kallum Pickering)表示。
Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist at Lloyds Banking Group, was one of several who still expects prices to accelerate. "The increase in the energy price cap will pull inflation higher in October, with a further significant rise likely next April as a result of soaring wholesale gas prices. That means that inflation seems set to remain around 4% into the second quarter of next year. It will present the [Bank of England monetary policy committee] with a difficult policy trade-off between supporting the economy and tackling inflation," he said.
劳埃德银行集团(Lloyds Banking Group)高级经济学家何汉珠(Hann-Ju Ho)是仍预计价格将加速上涨的几位经济学家之一。“能源价格上限的提高将在10月份拉高通胀,由于天然气批发价格飙升,明年4月可能会进一步大幅上涨。这意味着通胀率似乎将保持在4%左右,一直持续到明年第二季度。这将是[英国央行货币政策委员会]在支持经济和应对通胀之间进行艰难的政策取舍,“他说。
The FTSE 100 wasn't moving much on Wednesday, with metals producers including Rio Tinto falling.
周三,富时100指数(FTSE100)变动不大,力拓(Rio Tinto)等金属生产商下跌。
Travel stocks such as International Airlines Group and Tui lost ground on worries the U.K. may have to re-impose restrictions as COVID-19 infections rise.
国际航空集团(International Airlines Group)和途易(Tui)等旅游类股下跌,原因是人们担心,随着新冠肺炎感染人数的上升,英国可能不得不重新实施限制措施。
Energy providers SSE and Centrica advanced amid the strength in wholesale power prices.
能源供应商上交所(SSE)和森特里克(Centrica)在批发电价走强的情况下上涨。
-Steve Goldstein
--史蒂夫·戈尔茨坦
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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