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[Surprise Giveaway] How to pick great value stocks like Warren Buffett

[Surprise Giveaway] How to pick great value stocks like Warren Buffett

[惊喜赠品]如何挑选沃伦·巴菲特这样的高价值股票
Zacks ·  2021/08/30 07:38  · 财学堂

Zacks Investment Research

扎克斯投资研究

16.pngWarren Buffett, one of the most successful investors of all time, turns 91 today. To reflect on what makes him famous (or rich), we invite you to comment "Happy birthday, Buffett" and your takeaway about Buffett below by August 31

沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)是有史以来最成功的投资者之一,今天是他91岁生日。为了反思是什么让他出名(或富有),我们邀请您发表评论“巴菲特生日快乐”和你对巴菲特的看法下面到8月31日.

  • Who will be selected: We will randomly select 30 respondents.

  • Rewards: 288 reward points per user. Winners will receive a System Notice by September 3.

  • 谁将被选中:我们将随机抽取30名受访者。

  • 奖励:每个用户288个奖励积分。获奖者将在9月3日之前收到系统通知。

08.pngWarren Buffett is one of the legends of stock investing. We all know his story.

沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)是股票投资的传奇人物之一。我们都知道他的故事。

He started investing in stocks when he was just 11.  By the time he was 29 years old, he was already a millionaire stock investor. In his 60s, he became a billionaire stock investor.

他从11岁开始投资股票,到29岁的时候,他已经是一名百万富翁股票投资者了。在他60多岁的时候,他成为了一名亿万富翁股票投资者。

Often, the biggest question people ask about Buffett is: how does he do it? And: could I do it too?

通常,人们对巴菲特的最大疑问是:他是如何做到这一点的?还有:我也可以这么做吗?

Buffett has become rich by buying undervalued, or out-of-favor stocks, and holding them for years.

巴菲特通过买入被低估或失宠的股票,并持有这些股票多年而致富。

Sounds easy, right?

听起来很简单,对吧?

If it was, everyone would be able to do what Buffett has done.

如果是这样的话,每个人都可以做巴菲特做过的事情。

However, Buffett does have some secrets that us mere mortal investors can deploy to help us pick great value stocks.

然而,巴菲特确实有一些秘密,我们这些普通的投资者可以利用这些秘密来帮助我们挑选高价值的股票。

3 Secrets to Picking Great Value Stocks Like Buffett

选择像巴菲特这样的高价值股票的3个秘诀

1) Buy What You Know

1)买你知道的东西

Even investing legends have favorite products. Over the years, Berkshire Hathaway has collected a big roster of well-known companies including Dairy Queen, See's Candy, and Burlington Northern railroad.

即使是投资传奇人物也有最喜欢的产品。多年来,伯克希尔哈撒韦公司已经收集了一大批知名公司,包括乳品皇后公司、See‘s Candy公司和伯灵顿北方铁路公司。

How many of these acquisitions were influenced by Buffett's own preferences for the products?

在这些收购中,有多少是受巴菲特自己对产品偏好的影响?

In Berkshire’s stock portfolio, one of its longest owned stock positions is in $Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc(COKE.US)$, which Buffett first began buying in 1988.

在伯克希尔的股票投资组合中,其拥有时间最长的股票头寸之一是$可口可乐联合公司(COKE.US)$,巴菲特于1988年首次开始买入。

Is it a coincidence that Coke is one of Warren Buffett's favorite drinks? Over the last decade, Buffett has disclosed in interviews to both Fortune and the Financial Times that he drinks 5 cans of coke a day, usually Diet Coke or Cherry Coke.

可口可乐成为沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)最喜欢的饮料之一,这是巧合吗?在过去的十年里,巴菲特在接受《财富》和英国《金融时报》采访时透露,他每天喝5罐可乐,通常是健怡可乐或樱桃可乐。

Clearly, he's a fan.

很明显,他是我的粉丝。

But you have to do more than just liking a product, to buy the stock.

但要购买股票,你必须做的不仅仅是喜欢一件产品。

Buffett has always been an avid researcher and used to order the Annual Reports from companies, when they would send them to you in the mail, to check the financials. He used to have stacks of the reports piled in his garage.

巴菲特一直是一位热衷于研究的人,他习惯于从公司订购年报,当他们通过邮件寄给你的时候,他会检查财务状况。他的车库里曾经堆放着成堆的报告。

What’s your favorite product or brand?

你最喜欢的产品或品牌是什么?

We often have our fingers on the pulse of everyday products and activities, or even of something that is used in our jobs, that might get overlooked by others.

我们经常把手放在日常产品和活动的脉搏上,甚至是工作中使用的东西,而这些都可能被别人忽视。

It’s a great way to find value stocks.  

这是寻找价值型股票的好方法。

2) Buy Stocks on Sale

2)大减价买股票

This sounds so simple, right?

这听起来很简单,对吧?

But not so fast.

但别这么快。

With the stock market continuing to hit new all-time highs and everyone worried about valuation, it’s become more difficult, but not impossible, to find good quality companies that are 「on sale.」

随着股市继续创下历史新高,每个人都在担心估值,找到质量好的“打折”公司变得更加困难,但也不是不可能。

But Buffett still believes in buying undervalued, well-known companies with stellar earnings growth.

但巴菲特仍然相信收购收益增长强劲的被低估的知名公司。

One of the most undervalued stocks he’s bought recently was AbbVie$AbbVie Inc(ABBV.US)$, the pharmaceutical giant and maker of Botox.

他最近买入的最被低估的股票之一是艾伯维(AbbVie)$艾伯维公司(ABBV.US)$制药巨头和肉毒杆菌的制造商。

It was one of his few new additions to the Berkshire portfolio in 2020 and he got it massively undervalued, with a forward P/E of around 8 and a dividend yielding over 4%.

这是他在2020年加入伯克希尔哈撒韦投资组合的为数不多的新成员之一,但他的估值被大幅低估,远期市盈率约为8倍,股息收益率超过4%。

Buying stocks on sale is the easiest way to invest like Buffett. Any investor can search for value stocks by the classic fundamentals like P/E, PEG or Price-to-Sales ratios.

像巴菲特那样买进打折股票是最简单的投资方式。任何投资者都可以根据市盈率(P/E)、聚乙二醇(PEG)或市销率(Price-to-Sales Ratio)等经典基本面来搜索价值股。

If you had done so in 2020, you would have seen some great value stocks, including AbbVie.

如果你在2020年这样做,你会看到一些很有价值的股票,包括艾伯维(AbbVie)。

It doesn’t get any easier than that.

没有比这更容易的事了。

3) Learn to Pivot and Change Course

3)学转课程

Remember when Berkshire Hathaway owned IBM?

还记得伯克希尔哈撒韦公司什么时候拥有IBM吗?

Neither do I, but for 7 years, until 2018, Berkshire had a large position in the technology giant.

我也不知道,但在2018年之前的7年里,伯克希尔一直持有这家科技巨头的大量头寸。

Originally bought in 2011, Berkshire spent $10.7 billion, buying at the average price of $170 per share, to take a significant stake in the company.

伯克希尔哈撒韦公司最初收购于2011年,斥资107亿美元,以每股170美元的平均价格收购了该公司的大量股份。

This was going to be Buffett’s big play into technology, an area he had famously avoided for decades.

这将是巴菲特进军科技领域的重头戏,这是他几十年来一直回避的一个著名领域。

But it never really worked out. In 2016, shares fell as low as $125.

但它从未真正奏效。2016年,股价一度跌至125美元。

Buffett decided to sell, and exit the position, notwithstanding one of his most famous pieces of advice, 「our favorite holding period is forever.」

尽管巴菲特最著名的建议之一是“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远”,但巴菲特还是决定卖出并退出这一头寸。

Buffett shrugged off the defeat in interviews saying the company never lived up to expectations so he was changing course.

巴菲特在接受采访时对这一失败不屑一顾,称公司从未达到预期,因此他正在改变路线。

What did he buy instead?

他买了什么呢?

In 2016, Apple was undervalued with a forward P/E of around 10 and the Street was mostly ignoring it.

2016年,苹果的预期市盈率约为10倍,被低估了,华尔街基本上对此不屑一顾。

That investment has more than made up for the mistake of buying IBM and is now one of the key pillars of Berkshire Hathaway’s business.

这笔投资弥补了收购IBM的错误,现在是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司业务的关键支柱之一。

You will make investing mistakes, but the secret is to know when to pivot.

你会犯投资错误,但秘诀在于知道什么时候该转向。

Buffett does it, and you can do it too.

巴菲特做到了,你也可以做到。

Buffett's Final Key Ingredient: Discipline 

巴菲特的最后一个关键因素:纪律

Buffett has one skill as an investor that’s hard to come by: discipline.

作为一名投资者,巴菲特有一项技能是难得的:纪律。

He will wait, sometimes years, in order to buy a stock, or a company, at a low price.

为了低价购买一只股票或一家公司,他会等上几年,有时甚至会等上几年。

His discipline paid off in the 2008-2009 financial crisis when he was able to step in and offer financial assistance to struggling banks, offering a $5 billion bailout to Goldman Sachs, for instance, when others were on sinking ships.

他的纪律在2008-2009年金融危机中得到了回报,当时他能够介入,为陷入困境的银行提供财政援助,例如,在其他银行正在下沉的时候,他向高盛(Goldman Sachs)提供了50亿美元的救助。

He had what his mentor Benjamin Graham, famously called, a 「margin of safety.」

他拥有他的导师本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)所说的著名的“安全边际”。

This can be achieved by being prepared for pullbacks, corrections, or even bear markets.

这可以通过为回调、修正甚至熊市做好准备来实现。

Last year, the stock sell-off, and the months after it, were the perfect buying opportunity for value investors to buy their favorite companies at undervalued prices.

去年,股票抛售,以及之后的几个月,是价值投资者以被低估的价格买入自己喜欢的公司的绝佳买入机会。

But even if you missed that buying opportunity, another one is always coming.

但是,即使你错过了这个买入机会,另一个机会也总会到来。

Buffett has billions in cash sitting in Berkshire’s coffers, just waiting for another chance to buy.

巴菲特在伯克希尔的金库里有数十亿美元的现金,只是在等待下一次买入的机会。

What will you do when deals come around again?

当交易再次到来时,你会怎么做?

Will you be ready?

你准备好了吗?

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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