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With Roku Stock, It’s Time to Bet on Anthony Wood

With Roku Stock, It’s Time to Bet on Anthony Wood

有了Roku Stock,是时候把赌注押在安东尼·伍德(Anthony Wood)身上了
InvestorPlace ·  2021/08/23 06:00

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The time to buy tech stocks is when they go out of favor. So now might be a good time to look at Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) stock.

买入科技股的时机是在它们失宠的时候。所以现在可能是一个很好的时机来看看罗库(纳斯达克股票代码:Roku)股票。

Source: jejim / Shutterstock.com
来源:jejim/Shutterstock.com

Roku has lost one-quarter of its value in less than a month. It cost $476 a share on July 19. Now it’s at $351. Even at that price, you’re paying 207x earnings, or 20x revenue, for a company that competes directly with Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL).

在不到一个月的时间里,Roku的价值已经缩水了四分之一。7月19日,它的价格是每股476美元,现在是351美元。即使在这个价格下,你也要为一家与之直接竞争的公司支付207倍的收益,或20倍的收入字母表(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG,纳斯达克:GOOGL), 亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)和苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL).

Still, if you’ve been invested since Roku’s September 2018 IPO, you’re rich. The shares jumped 67% on the first day of trading and have kept going up. Roku is a true “10-bagger,” its value up over 1,200% since it came public.

不过,如果你自2018年9月Roku首次公开募股(IPO)以来一直在投资,那么你就是有钱人。该公司股价在首日交易中跃升67%,并一直在上涨。Roku是一个真正的“10个袋子”,自上市以来其价值上涨了1200%以上。

The Wood Vision

“木材视觉”(The Wood Vision)

CEO and controlling shareholder Anthony Wood, who previously invented the DVR, sees Roku as the “one box to rule them all,” and a route to power across all media. Wood, a Texas A&M graduate who prefers jeans and suspenders to suits or black turtlenecks, controls Roku through its Class B shares. Roku won’t be sold unless Wood decides to sell.

首席执行官兼控股股东安东尼·伍德(Anthony Wood)之前发明了DVR,他认为Roku是“统治一切的一个盒子”,是一条在所有媒体上掌权的途径。伍德毕业于德克萨斯州农工大学(Texas A&M),比起西装或黑色高领毛衣,他更喜欢牛仔裤和吊带裤,他通过其B类股票控制着Roku。除非伍德决定出售,否则Roku不会被出售。

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This means analysts who said you should buy Roku in hopes it would be bought out, like yours truly, were just wrong. (If you bought when I first made that mistake, you’re up “just” 200%. My apologies.)

这意味着,那些说你应该收购Roku的分析师错了,他们希望Roku会被收购,就像你真正的想法一样。(如果你在我第一次犯那个错误的时候买入,你就“仅仅”上涨了200%。我很抱歉。)

Wood’s not selling. Wood is buying. Even at its current price, Roku is worth almost twice as much as ViacomCBS (NASDAQ:VIAC), which is also family-controlled, in this case by Shari Redstone.

伍德卖不出去。伍德买下了。即使按照目前的价格,Roku的价值也几乎是它的两倍维亚康姆CBS(纳斯达克股票代码:VIAC),它也是家族控制的,在这种情况下是由Shari Redstone控制的。

Wood’s vision is to control what people watch through Roku TVs and streaming sticks, and to collect ad revenue for it. Based on the second quarter report, that plan is working. During the quarter, platform revenue, which is mainly advertising, was nearly 5x bigger than player revenue. A year ago, it was slightly more than twice as big. Platform revenue grew 117% year-over-year, with total revenue coming to $645 million.

伍德的愿景是控制人们通过Roku电视和流媒体棒观看的内容,并为其赚取广告收入。根据第二季度报告,该计划正在奏效。在本季度,平台收入(主要是广告)比玩家收入高出近5倍。一年前,它的规模略高于这一数字的两倍。平台收入同比增长117%,总收入达到6.45亿美元。

The Skeptics

怀疑论者

Roku stock fell after earnings. Operating income also fell from the previous quarter, to $69 million. Those numbers beat estimates, but user growth was seen as slow.

Roku股价在财报公布后下跌。营业收入也较上一季度下降,至6900万美元。这些数字超出了预期,但用户增长被视为缓慢。

For many investors, it was just time to take profits. Roku has 37% of the U.S. streaming market, but its global share is dropping. Europe, Asia and South America are the new growth markets and Roku isn’t a player there.

对于许多投资者来说,现在正是获利了结的时候。Roku拥有美国流媒体市场37%的份额,但其全球份额正在下降。欧洲、亚洲和南美是新的增长型市场,而Roku并不是这些市场的参与者。

Then there’s a running battle with Google. Roku took Google’s YouTube app off its platform in May, and it’s still not back. Google has responded by selling YouTube TV directly, bypassing Roku. Roku says the issue is monopoly. Google says it’s technology, specifically a new video codec it’s pushing called AV1, which it says takes less bandwidth.

然后是一场与谷歌的持续争夺战。Roku在5月份将谷歌的YouTube应用程序从其平台上撤下,至今仍未回归。谷歌的回应是绕过Roku直接销售YouTube电视。Roku说,问题是垄断。谷歌表示,这是一项技术,特别是它正在推动的一种名为AV1的新视频编解码器,该公司表示,这种编解码器占用的带宽更少。

As with cloud, Google is buying market share in streaming, signing deals with TV brands like TCL (OTCMKTS:TCLHF), which had previously only supported Roku. When streaming is in the TV, you don’t need the stick. Market share gains for GoogleTV become automatic.

与云一样,谷歌正在购买流媒体的市场份额,与如下电视品牌签署协议TCL(OTCMKTS:TCLHF),之前只支持Roku。如果电视里有流媒体,你就不需要操纵杆了。谷歌电视(GoogleTV)的市场份额增长是自然而然的。

Roku’s response, so far, has been to buy content. It grabbed content from Quibi, a failed start-up. It is now signing up second-tier cable networks like El Rey, backed by director Robert Rodriguez.

到目前为止,Roku的反应一直是购买内容。它从基比,一家失败的初创企业。它现在正在与二线有线电视网络签约,比如埃尔雷伊由导演罗伯特·罗德里格斯(Robert Rodriguez)支持。

The Bottom Line on ROKU Stock

Roku股票的底线

Roku faces big challenges but, as our Louis Navellier writes, don’t count Wood out.

Roku面临着巨大的挑战,但正如我们的Louis Navellier所写的那样,不要把伍德排除在外。

The TCL-Google deal isn’t exclusive. The current chip shortage may be a blessing in disguise. It gives Wood time to make new global deals with other TV makers and to line up more international content.

TCL与谷歌的交易并不是排他性的。目前的芯片短缺可能是变相的福气。这让伍德有时间与其他电视制造商达成新的全球交易,并安排更多国际内容。

Wood may also decide that now is the time to sell out. A $47 billion market cap looks huge. But it’s seat-cushion money for Apple or Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). They could use Roku to integrate TV and gaming.

伍德也可能决定,现在是卖出的时候了。470亿美元的市值看起来很巨大。但这是苹果或苹果的坐垫钱微软(纳斯达克市场代码:MSFT)他们可以利用Roku将电视和游戏结合起来。

Wood may not look like a TV or tech mogul, but don’t let that fool you.

伍德可能看起来不像电视或科技大亨,但不要让这一点愚弄了你。

On the date of publication, Dana Blankenhorn held long positions in AMZN, MSFT and AAPL. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在发表之日,Dana Blankenhorn在AMZN、MSFT和AAPL持有多头头寸。本文表达的观点是作者的观点,以InvestorPlace.com为准出版指南.

<em>Dana Blankenhorn</em> has been a financial and technology journalist since 1978. He is the author of <em>Living With Moore’s Law: Past, Present and Future</em> available at the Amazon Kindle store. Write him at <em>danablankenhorn@gmail.com</em> or tweet him at <em>@danablankenhorn</em>. He writes a Substack newsletter, <em>Facing the Future</em>, which covers technology, markets, and politics.

达娜·布兰肯霍恩(Dana Blankenhorn)自1978年以来一直是一名金融和科技记者。他是《摩尔定律:过去、现在和未来可在亚马逊Kindle商店购买。写信给他,地址是邮箱:danablankenhorn@gmail.com或者在推特上告诉他@danablankenhorn。他写了一份子栈时事通讯,面向未来,它涵盖了技术、市场和政治。

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