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Global Labor Shortage To Propel Tech Stocks To 50% Of S&P 500, Says Fundstrat's Tom Lee: 'You're Going To See A Shift'

Global Labor Shortage To Propel Tech Stocks To 50% Of S&P 500, Says Fundstrat's Tom Lee: 'You're Going To See A Shift'

Fundstrat的汤姆·李说,全球劳动力短缺将推动科技股升至标准普尔500指数的50%:“你会看到转变”
Benzinga ·  05/23 22:05

The global labor shortage, estimated to reach 80 million workers by 2030, is expected to significantly boost technology stocks, according to Tom Lee, the head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors.

Fundstrat Global Advisors研究主管汤姆·李表示,预计到2030年,全球劳动力短缺将达到8000万工人,预计将显著提振科技股。

What Happened: Lee predicts that the technology sector's share of the S&P 500 will increase from its current 30% to 50%, reported Business Insider. This projection is based on the potential for artificial intelligence to enhance productivity and address the impending labor shortage.

发生了什么:据《商业内幕》报道,李预测科技行业在标准普尔500指数中的份额将从目前的30%增加到50%。这一预测基于人工智能在提高生产率和解决迫在眉睫的劳动力短缺方面的潜力。

Lee's comments come in the wake of NVIDIA Corp's (NASDAQ:NVDA) remarkable first-quarter earnings report, which led to a 10% surge in the company's stock. He believes that the AI narrative is still in its early stages and will drive a shift from traditional wage spending to increased investment in AI technology.

李的评论是在英伟达公司(纳斯达克股票代码:NVDA)发布了出色的第一季度财报之后发表的,该报告导致该公司的股票上涨了10%。他认为,人工智能叙事仍处于初期阶段,将推动从传统的工资支出向增加对人工智能技术的投资的转变。

"The prime age workforce is growing slower than the total world population and by the end of the decade that gap is around 80 million workers. So unless there is a productivity boom which is what AI will do, it's going to create a lot of pressure on companies or incentives for them to innovate. And that means you're going to see a shift from annual wage spend to silicon spend," Lee said.

“黄金年龄劳动力的增长速度低于世界总人口,到本世纪末,这一差距约为8000万工人。因此,除非像人工智能那样出现生产力激增,否则它将给公司带来很大的压力或激励他们进行创新。这意味着你将看到从年工资支出转向硅支出,” 李说。

Lee estimates that companies will collectively spend around $3.2 trillion annually on AI technology to counter the growing labor shortage. He also highlighted that Nvidia, with its approaching $100 billion in annual revenue, is poised to benefit significantly from this increased spending.

李估计,各公司每年将在人工智能技术上共花费约3.2万亿美元,以应对日益严重的劳动力短缺。他还强调,英伟达的年收入接近1000亿美元,有望从支出的增加中受益匪浅。

The potential for a labor shortage to drive a surge in technology stocks is not a new phenomenon, Lee pointed out. He referenced previous instances of global labor shortages, such as those between 1948 and 1967 and between 1991 and 1999, which led to significant increases in technology stocks.

李指出,劳动力短缺可能推动科技股飙升并不是什么新现象。他提到了以前的全球劳动力短缺事件,例如1948年至1967年之间以及1991年至1999年之间的劳动力短缺,这导致科技股大幅上涨。

Why It Matters: The global labor shortage is a significant issue that is not limited to the tech industry. In April 2023, U.S. tech giants faced challenges in downsizing their European workforce due to strict labor laws. This issue is likely to have a far-reaching impact on various industries and could potentially drive significant changes in the global economy.

为何重要:全球劳动力短缺是一个重大问题,不仅限于科技行业。2023年4月,由于严格的劳动法,美国科技巨头在裁员欧洲面临挑战。这个问题可能会对各个行业产生深远影响,并有可能推动全球经济的重大变化。

Despite the potential for a surge in technology stocks, some experts have warned that the market may not have hit rock bottom yet. In April, both Jim Cramer and Lee cautioned against buying the dip, suggesting that the market may still have further to fall.

尽管科技股有可能飙升,但一些专家警告说,市场可能尚未触底。4月,吉姆·克莱默和李都警告不要逢低买入,这表明市场可能还有进一步下跌的余地。

However, the AI-driven rally has continued to gain momentum, with Nvidia's stock topping over $1,000 on Thursday as the stock market reclaimed record highs. This ongoing rally suggests that the potential for AI to drive a surge in technology stocks is a significant factor to consider in the current market landscape.

然而,人工智能驱动的涨势继续增强,随着股市重回历史新高,英伟达的股票在周四突破了1,000美元以上。这种持续的涨势表明,人工智能推动科技股飙升的潜力是当前市场格局中需要考虑的重要因素。

Image Via Pixabay

图片来自 Pixabay

This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Kaustubh Bagalkote

这个故事是使用 Benzinga Neuro 创作的,由 Kaustubh Bagalkote

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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