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Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Five Years

Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Five Years

江森自控国际(纽约证券交易所代码:JCI)股票表现好于过去五年的基础收益增长
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 13:41

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI) share price is up 91% in the last five years, slightly above the market return. It's also good to see a healthy gain of 20% in the last year.

如果你想在股票市场上增加财富,你可以通过购买指数基金来实现。但是根据我们的经验,购买合适的股票可以显著增加您的财富。例如,江森自控国际有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:JCI)的股价在过去五年中上涨了91%,略高于市场回报率。去年也很高兴看到20%的健康增长。

Since the stock has added US$3.4b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由于该股仅在过去一周的市值就增加了34亿美元,因此让我们看看基础表现是否推动了长期回报。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Over half a decade, Johnson Controls International managed to grow its earnings per share at 10% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 14% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

在过去的五年中,江森自控国际设法将其每股收益增长到每年10%。每股收益的增长低于同期每年14%的股价增长。因此,可以公平地假设市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到增长的记录,这并不令人震惊。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:JCI Earnings Per Share Growth May 23rd 2024
纽约证券交易所:JCI 每股收益增长 2024 年 5 月 23 日

We know that Johnson Controls International has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

我们知道江森自控国际最近提高了利润,但它会增加收入吗?这份显示分析师收入预测的免费报告应帮助您弄清楚每股收益的增长是否可以持续。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Johnson Controls International's TSR for the last 5 years was 116%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。碰巧的是,江森自控国际过去5年的股东总回报率为116%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Johnson Controls International provided a TSR of 24% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 17% over half a decade This suggests the company might be improving over time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Johnson Controls International (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

在过去的十二个月中,江森自控国际的股东总回报率为24%。不幸的是,这没有达到市场回报率。好的一面是,这仍然是一个收益,实际上比五年来17%的平均回报率要好。这表明该公司可能会随着时间的推移而有所改善。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。比如风险。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了江森自控国际的3个警告标志(其中1个对我们来说不太合适!)你应该知道。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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