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Sinotruk Jinan Truck Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000951) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Sinotruk Jinan Truck Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000951) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

中国重汽济南卡车有限公司, Ltd (SZSE: 000951) 的股票最近表现疲软,但财务前景看起来不错:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 20:19

Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd (SZSE:000951) has had a rough month with its share price down 6.9%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's ROE.

中国重汽济南卡车有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000951)经历了艰难的一个月,其股价下跌了6.9%。但是,如果你密切关注,你可能会发现其关键财务指标看起来相当不错,考虑到市场通常会奖励更具弹性的长期基本面,这可能意味着该股有可能在长期内上涨。在本文中,我们决定重点关注中国重汽济南卡车有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,中国重汽济南卡车有限公司的投资回报率为:

9.2% = CN¥1.5b ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

9.2% = 15亿元人民币 ÷ 160亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.09元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.2% ROE

中国重汽济南卡车有限公司的收益增长和9.2%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.9%, is definitely interesting. But seeing Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's five year net income decline of 17% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

从表面上看,中国重汽济南卡车有限公司的投资回报率没什么好说的。但是,该公司的投资回报率高于6.9%的行业平均投资回报率,这一事实绝对很有趣。但是,鉴于中国重汽济南卡车有限公司在过去五年中五年净收入下降了17%,我们可能会重新考虑这个问题。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。只是行业的投资回报率较低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。

However, when we compared Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.6% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将中国重汽济南卡车有限公司的增长与该行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但同期该行业的收益增长了9.6%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000951 Past Earnings Growth May 23rd 2024
SZSE: 000951 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 23 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。与其他公司相比,中国重汽济南卡车有限公司的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中国重汽济南卡车有限公司是否有效地将其利润再投资?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 33% (or a retention ratio of 67%) which is pretty normal, Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

从其三年中位数派息率33%(或67%的留存率)来看,这是很正常的,中国重汽济南卡车有限公司的收益下降相当令人困惑,因为当一家公司保留很大一部分利润时,人们预计会出现相当大的增长。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,中国重汽济南卡车有限公司已经派发股息至少十年或更长时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we feel that Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们认为中国重汽济南卡车有限公司确实有一些积极因素需要考虑。但是,低收益增长有点令人担忧,特别是考虑到该公司的回报率可观,并且正在将很大一部分利润再投资。从表面上看,可能还有其他一些因素阻碍了增长,这些因素不一定是业务的控制。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的收益增长率将得到巨大改善。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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