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Is Diamond Offshore Drilling (NYSE:DO) A Risky Investment?

Is Diamond Offshore Drilling (NYSE:DO) A Risky Investment?

钻石海上钻探(纽约证券交易所代码:DO)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 08:41

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. (NYSE:DO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,钻石海上钻探公司(纽约证券交易所代码:DO)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Diamond Offshore Drilling's Net Debt?

钻石海上钻探的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Diamond Offshore Drilling had US$534.0m of debt, an increase on US$345.8m, over one year. However, it does have US$162.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$371.6m.

您可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,钻石海上钻探公司在一年内有5.34亿美元的债务,比3.458亿美元有所增加。但是,它确实有1.624亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为3.716亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DO Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
纽约证券交易所:DO 债务与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 5 月 21 日

How Strong Is Diamond Offshore Drilling's Balance Sheet?

钻石海上钻探公司的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Diamond Offshore Drilling had liabilities of US$275.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$755.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$162.4m and US$222.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$645.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,Diamond Offshore Drilling在12个月内到期的负债为2.753亿美元,之后到期的负债为7.554亿美元。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为1.624亿美元,还有价值2.225亿美元的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出6.459亿美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Diamond Offshore Drilling has a market capitalization of US$1.52b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为Diamond Offshore Drilling的市值为152亿美元,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强其资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

Even though Diamond Offshore Drilling's debt is only 1.9, its interest cover is really very low at 1.5. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. We also note that Diamond Offshore Drilling improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive US$78m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Diamond Offshore Drilling can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

尽管钻石海上钻探公司的债务仅为1.9,但其利息覆盖率确实很低,为1.5。其主要原因是它的折旧和摊销率如此之高。这些费用可能是非现金的,因此在偿还债务时可以将其排除在外。但是会计费用是有原因的——一些资产被认为正在贬值。无论如何,可以肯定地说该公司有大量债务。我们还注意到,钻石海上钻探公司的息税前利润从去年的亏损提高至7800万美元的正值。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定钻石海上钻探能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Diamond Offshore Drilling burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,重要的是要检查其利息和税前收益(EBIT)中有多少可以转换为实际的自由现金流。去年,钻石海上钻探消耗了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Diamond Offshore Drilling's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't such a worry. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Diamond Offshore Drilling's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Diamond Offshore Drilling that you should be aware of.

从表面上看,Diamond Offshore Drilling的利息保障让我们对该股持初步看法,其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。话虽如此,其根据息税折旧摊销前利润处理债务的能力并不令人担忧。从大局来看,我们似乎很清楚,Diamond Offshore Drilling使用债务给公司带来了风险。如果一切顺利,可能会得到回报,但这笔债务的不利之处是永久损失的风险更大。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了钻石海上钻探的1个警告信号,你应该注意这一点。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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