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Sailun Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601058) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

Sailun Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601058) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

赛轮集团有限公司's(SHSE: 601058)股票走强:市场是否遵循基本面?
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 02:16

Sailun Group's (SHSE:601058) stock is up by a considerable 21% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company's long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company's key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Sailun Group's ROE today.

赛轮集团(上海证券交易所代码:601058)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了21%。由于市场通常会为公司的长期基本面买单,因此我们决定研究公司的关键绩效指标,看看它们是否会影响市场。特别是,我们今天将关注赛轮集团的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sailun Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,赛轮集团的投资回报率为:

22% = CN¥3.9b ÷ CN¥18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

22% = 39亿元人民币 ÷ 180亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.22 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。另一种思考方式是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,该公司就能获得0.22元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Sailun Group's Earnings Growth And 22% ROE

赛轮集团的收益增长和22%的投资回报率的并排比较

To begin with, Sailun Group seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 8.1% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Sailun Group's significant 21% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先,赛轮集团的投资回报率似乎不错。特别是与行业平均水平的8.1%相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。这可能为赛轮集团在过去五年中实现21%的显著净收入增长奠定了基础。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益增长产生积极影响。例如,公司的管理层可能做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的派息率很低。

As a next step, we compared Sailun Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 7.9%.

下一步,我们将赛轮集团的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,令人高兴的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均增长7.9%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601058 Past Earnings Growth May 21st 2024
SHSE: 601058 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 21 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Sailun Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查赛轮集团相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Sailun Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

赛轮集团是否有效地将其利润再投资?

Sailun Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 30% (where it is retaining 70% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Sailun Group is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

赛轮集团的三年派息率中位数为30%(保留收入的70%),不太低或不太高。从表面上看,股息覆盖范围很大,赛轮集团正在有效地再投资其利润,我们上面讨论的其非凡增长就证明了这一点。

Moreover, Sailun Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 16% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the lower expected payout ratio.

此外,赛轮集团决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的悠久历史中推断出来的。现有的分析师估计表明,该公司未来的派息率预计将在未来三年降至16%。但是,尽管预期的派息率较低,但该公司的投资回报率预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Sailun Group's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们对赛轮集团的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢该公司以高回报率再投资其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致该公司的收益大幅增长。既然如此,对分析师最新预测的研究表明,预计该公司未来的收益增长将放缓。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份免费的分析师预测报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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