Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited (HKG:1385) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 41% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 13.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 213% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 77% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 20%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (including 1 which is concerning).
You might be able to find a better investment than Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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