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We Think Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为恒生科技(SHSE: 600570)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 21:47

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hundsun Technologies Inc. (SHSE:600570) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,恒生科技股份有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600570)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Hundsun Technologies's Debt?

恒生科技的债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hundsun Technologies had CN¥328.2m of debt, up from CN¥192.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥2.68b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.35b.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,恒生科技的债务为3.282亿元人民币,高于去年同期的1.928亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,它确实有26.8亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为23.5亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600570 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SHSE: 600570 2024 年 5 月 21 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Hundsun Technologies' Liabilities

看看恒生科技的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hundsun Technologies had liabilities of CN¥4.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥313.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.68b in cash and CN¥1.37b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥349.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,恒生科技的负债为40.8亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为3.134亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有26.8亿加元的现金和13.7亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出3.495亿元人民币。

Having regard to Hundsun Technologies' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥41.1b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Hundsun Technologies also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

考虑到恒生科技的规模,其流动资产与总负债似乎保持了良好的平衡。因此,这家411亿元人民币的公司现金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得关注资产负债表。尽管恒生科技确实有值得注意的负债,但其现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

Another good sign is that Hundsun Technologies has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hundsun Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一个好兆头是,恒生科技已经能够在十二个月内将其息税前利润提高25%,从而更容易偿还债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定恒生科技能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Hundsun Technologies may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Hundsun Technologies recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。恒生科技的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。纵观最近三年,恒生科技录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的35%,低于我们的预期。这种疲软的现金转换使得处理债务变得更加困难。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Hundsun Technologies has CN¥2.35b in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 25% over the last year. So is Hundsun Technologies's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hundsun Technologies that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管查看公司的总负债总是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,恒生科技拥有23.5亿元人民币的净现金。它的息税前利润比去年增长了25%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么,恒生科技的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们发现了恒生科技的1个警告信号,在投资恒生科技之前,你应该注意这个信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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