Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.,Ltd. (SHSE:605388) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 25% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may consider Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 72x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 34%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 75% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 170% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 38% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd's P/E?
Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.Ltd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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