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Q Technology (Group) (HKG:1478) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Q Technology (Group) (HKG:1478) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Q 科技(集团)(HKG: 1478)似乎相当明智地使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/13 20:05

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Q Technology (Group) Company Limited (HKG:1478) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,Q科技(集团)有限公司(HKG: 1478)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东们可能会一无所获。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Q Technology (Group)'s Debt?

什么是Q Technology(集团)的债务?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Q Technology (Group) had CN¥4.37b of debt, up from CN¥2.62b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥3.82b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥548.5m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,Q科技(集团)的债务为43.7亿元人民币,高于去年同期的26.2亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。另一方面,它拥有38.2亿元人民币的现金,净负债约为5.485亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1478 Debt to Equity History May 14th 2024
SEHK: 1478 2024 年 5 月 14 日债务与股本的比率记录

A Look At Q Technology (Group)'s Liabilities

看看Q Technology(集团)的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Q Technology (Group) had liabilities of CN¥9.67b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥444.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.82b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.92b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.37b.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,Q Technology(集团)的负债为96.7亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为4.445亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有价值38.2亿元人民币的现金以及价值39.2亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债比其现金和(短期)应收账款总额高出237亿元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Q Technology (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥4.25b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为Q Technology(集团)的市值为42.5亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.1 and interest cover of 5.1 times, it seems to us that Q Technology (Group) is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Also relevant is that Q Technology (Group) has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 27% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Q Technology (Group) can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

从其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的1.1倍和利息覆盖率的5.1倍来看,在我们看来,Q Technology(集团)可能正在以相当合理的方式使用债务。但是,利息支付肯定足以让我们考虑其债务的负担能力。同样重要的是,Q Technology(集团)去年其息税前利润增长了可观的27%,从而增强了其偿还债务的能力。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定Q Technology(集团)能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Q Technology (Group) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,值得检查一下息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。令所有股东感到高兴的是,在过去三年中,Q Technology(集团)产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。当Daft Punk音乐会的节拍下降时,这种强劲的现金转换让我们和观众一样兴奋。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Q Technology (Group)'s impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Q Technology (Group) takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Q Technology (Group) that you should be aware of before investing here.

令人高兴的是,Q Technology(集团)令人印象深刻地将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,这意味着它在债务方面占了上风。但是,更悲观的是,我们对其总负债水平有点担忧。考虑到所有这些数据,在我们看来,Q Technology(集团)对债务采取了相当明智的态度。这意味着他们正在承担更多的风险,希望提高股东的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们发现了Q Technology(集团)的两个警告信号,在投资这里之前,您应该注意这些信号。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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