Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688019) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 5.9% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.6x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 32x and even P/E's lower than 20x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 25% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 215% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 25% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s P/E
Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai), and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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