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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get China Energy Engineering (HKG:3996) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get China Energy Engineering (HKG:3996) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

正收益增长不足以让中国能源工程(HKG: 3996)股东在去年获得可观的回报
Simply Wall St ·  05/12 20:03

China Energy Engineering Corporation Limited (HKG:3996) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 24% in the last quarter. But in truth the last year hasn't been good for the share price. The cold reality is that the stock has dropped 20% in one year, under-performing the market.

中国能源工程股份有限公司(HKG: 3996)股东应该很高兴看到上个季度股价上涨24%。但实际上,去年对股价不利。冷酷的现实是,该股在一年内下跌了20%,表现不及市场。

While the last year has been tough for China Energy Engineering shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管去年对中国能源工程的股东来说是艰难的一年,但上周显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Even though the China Energy Engineering share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管中国能源工程的股价在过去一年中有所下降,但其每股收益实际上有所改善。过去的增长预期很可能不合理。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, last year. But other metrics might shed some light on why the share price is down.

通过看一眼这些数字,我们假设市场预计去年会有更高的增长。但是其他指标可能会为股价下跌的原因提供一些启示。

China Energy Engineering's revenue is actually up 8.2% over the last year. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

中国能源工程的收入实际上比去年增长了8.2%。由于基本面指标不容易解释股价下跌,因此如果市场反应过度,可能会有机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3996 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 13th 2024
SEHK: 3996 2024年5月13日收益和收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for China Energy Engineering the TSR over the last 1 year was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。我们注意到,中国能源工程过去一年的股东总回报率为-18%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Investors in China Energy Engineering had a tough year, with a total loss of 18% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 3.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 2%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Energy Engineering (1 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

中国能源工程的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损了18%(包括股息),而市场涨幅约为3.8%。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚2%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们已经为中国能源工程确定了两个警告信号(其中一个不容忽视),你应该注意这些信号。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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