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Is Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH) A Risky Investment?

Is Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH) A Risky Investment?

莫利纳医疗保健(纽约证券交易所代码:MOH)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/11 10:29

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Molina Healthcare, Inc. (NYSE:MOH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。与许多其他公司一样,莫利纳医疗保健公司(纽约证券交易所代码:MOH)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Molina Healthcare Carry?

莫利纳医疗背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, Molina Healthcare had US$2.18b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has US$8.94b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$6.76b net cash.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,莫利纳医疗的债务为21.8亿美元,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但它也有89.4亿美元的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为67.6亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MOH Debt to Equity History May 11th 2024
纽约证券交易所:卫生部债务与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 5 月 11 日

How Strong Is Molina Healthcare's Balance Sheet?

莫利纳医疗的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Molina Healthcare had liabilities of US$8.51b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.51b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$8.94b as well as receivables valued at US$3.35b due within 12 months. So it can boast US$1.27b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,莫利纳医疗在12个月内到期的负债为85.1亿美元,之后到期的负债为251亿美元。除这些债务外,它有89.4亿美元的现金以及价值33.5亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以比之多12.7亿美元 负债。

This surplus suggests that Molina Healthcare has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Molina Healthcare boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明Molina Healthcare的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,Molina Healthcare拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

Fortunately, Molina Healthcare grew its EBIT by 8.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Molina Healthcare can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

幸运的是,去年,莫利纳医疗保健的息税前利润增长了8.3%,这使得债务负担看起来更易于控制。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定Molina Healthcare能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Molina Healthcare has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Molina Healthcare recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 95% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管Molina Healthcare的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,Molina Healthcare记录的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的95%,比我们通常预期的要强。如果需要的话,这有利于偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Molina Healthcare has US$6.76b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$881m, being 95% of its EBIT. So we don't think Molina Healthcare's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Molina Healthcare that you should be aware of.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,莫利纳医疗拥有67.6亿美元的净现金和不错的资产负债表。它以8.81亿美元的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的95%。因此,我们认为莫利纳医疗使用债务没有风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了Molina Healthcare的1个警告信号,你应该注意这一点。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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