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Is DTE Energy (NYSE:DTE) A Risky Investment?

Is DTE Energy (NYSE:DTE) A Risky Investment?

DTE Energy(纽约证券交易所代码:DTE)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/11 10:09

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that DTE Energy Company (NYSE:DTE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,DTE能源公司(纽约证券交易所代码:DTE)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。归根结底,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获地离开。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does DTE Energy Carry?

DTE Energy 背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 DTE Energy had US$21.9b of debt, an increase on US$19.5b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$492.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$21.4b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,DTE Energy在一年内有219亿美元的债务,比195亿美元有所增加。但是,由于其现金储备为4.92亿美元,其净负债较少,约为214亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DTE Debt to Equity History May 11th 2024
纽约证券交易所:DTE 债务与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 5 月 11 日

How Healthy Is DTE Energy's Balance Sheet?

DTE Energy的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that DTE Energy had liabilities of US$4.98b due within a year, and liabilities of US$29.7b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$492.0m and US$1.62b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$32.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,DTE Energy的负债为49.8亿美元,此后到期的负债为297亿美元。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为4.92亿美元,还有价值16.2亿美元的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出326亿美元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge US$24.1b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

当你考虑到这一缺口超过了公司241亿美元的巨额市值时,你很可能会倾向于仔细审查资产负债表。在公司必须迅速清理资产负债表的情况下,股东似乎可能会遭受大规模稀释。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

DTE Energy has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.5 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. However, one redeeming factor is that DTE Energy grew its EBIT at 16% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine DTE Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

DTE Energy的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率相当高,为6.5,这表明债务负担相当可观。但是,其2.8的利息覆盖率相当强,这是一个好兆头。但是,一个补偿因素是,DTE Energy在过去12个月中将其息税前利润增长了16%,增强了其处理债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定DTE Energy未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, DTE Energy saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,DTE Energy的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both DTE Energy's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Integrated Utilities industry companies like DTE Energy commonly do use debt without problems. We're quite clear that we consider DTE Energy to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for DTE Energy (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地说,DTE Energy的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率及其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但好的一面是,其息税前利润增长率是一个好兆头,也使我们更加乐观。我们还应该注意,像DTE Energy这样的综合公用事业行业公司通常会毫无问题地使用债务。我们很清楚,由于其资产负债表状况良好,我们认为DTE Energy的风险确实相当大。因此,我们对这只鱼的警惕几乎就像一只饥饿的小猫要掉进主人的鱼池一样警惕:正如他们所说,一旦被咬伤,两次害羞。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了 DTE Energy 的 3 个警告信号(1 个有点令人担忧!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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