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Is China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd (SHSE:600062) A Risky Investment?

Is China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd (SHSE:600062) A Risky Investment?

华润双鹤制药有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600062)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 03:30

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies China Resources Double-Crane Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600062) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,华润双鹤药业有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:600062)使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd Carry?

华润双鹤制药有限公司背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd had CN¥259.7m of debt, an increase on CN¥206.8m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.65b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.39b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,华润双鹤制药有限公司在一年内有2.597亿元人民币的债务,比2.068亿加元人民币增加。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有36.5亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有33.9亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600062 Debt to Equity History May 10th 2024
SHSE: 600062 2024 年 5 月 10 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd's Balance Sheet?

华润双鹤制药有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.02b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥458.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.65b and CN¥2.62b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥2.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,华润双鹤制药有限公司的负债为30.2亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为4.587亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为36.5亿元人民币,还有价值26.2亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出28亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种盈余表明,华润双鹤制药有限公司的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,华润双鹤制药有限公司的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

Also good is that China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同样不错的是,华润双鹤制药有限公司的息税前利润比去年增长了17%,进一步提高了其债务管理能力。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定华润双鹤制药有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。华润双鹤制药有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但仍然值得关注的是该业务如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,华润双鹤制药有限公司产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的70%,与我们的预期差不多。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd has net cash of CN¥3.39b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.2b, being 70% of its EBIT. So is China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Resources Double-Crane PharmaceuticalLtd .

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,华润双鹤制药有限公司的净现金为33.9亿元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。它以12亿元人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的70%。那么,华润双鹤制药有限公司的债务是否存在风险?在我们看来,情况并非如此。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该注意我们在华润双鹤制药有限公司发现的1个警告信号。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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