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Further Weakness as Shanghai Electric Group (HKG:2727) Drops 3.1% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 40%

Further Weakness as Shanghai Electric Group (HKG:2727) Drops 3.1% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 40%

由于上海电气集团(HKG: 2727)本周下跌3.1%,五年亏损至40%,进一步疲软
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 02:49

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2727), since the last five years saw the share price fall 44%. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 27% over the last twelve months.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对上海电气集团有限公司(HKG: 2727)的投资,因为过去五年股价下跌了44%。而且我们怀疑长期信徒是唯一担心的持有者,因为股价在过去十二个月中下跌了27%。

With the stock having lost 3.1% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由于该股在过去一周下跌了3.1%,值得看一下业务表现,看看是否存在任何危险信号。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

We know that Shanghai Electric Group has been profitable in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

我们知道上海电气集团过去一直盈利。但是,它在过去十二个月中出现了亏损,这表明现阶段的利润可能是一个不可靠的指标。其他指标可以更好地解释股价走势。

The revenue fall of 0.1% per year for five years is neither good nor terrible. But if the market expected durable top line growth, then that could explain the share price weakness.

五年来每年下降0.1%的收入既不好也不糟糕。但是,如果市场预期收入将持续增长,那么这可以解释股价疲软的原因。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:2727 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 9th 2024
SEHK: 2727 2024 年 5 月 9 日收益和收入增长

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表的强度至关重要。可能值得一看我们关于其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而变化的免费报告。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么股东总回报(TSR)呢?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Shanghai Electric Group's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Shanghai Electric Group shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 40%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

如果不提上海电气集团的区别,那就太失职了 股东总回报 (TSR) 及其 股价回报。可以说,股东总回报率是更完整的回报计算方法,因为它考虑了股息的价值(就好像是再投资一样),以及向股东提供的任何贴现资本的假设价值。分红确实为上海电气集团的股东带来了好处,这笔现金支付解释了为什么其在过去5年中40%的股东总亏损没有股价回报率那么糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 2.4% in the twelve months, Shanghai Electric Group shareholders did even worse, losing 27%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约2.4%,但上海电气集团股东的表现甚至更糟,下跌了27%。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中7%的年化亏损还要糟糕。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。股东们可能需要查看这张详细的过去收益、收入和现金流的历史图表。

We will like Shanghai Electric Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些重大的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢上海电气集团。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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